Aberdeen
1–3
FT · Loss
St. Mirren
0.94xG
-1.27AFC xGD
xG2.21
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
St. Mirren generated more attacking volume — 22 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 6 and —. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.16 xG per shot to 0.10, and the bigger ones (1–1 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.94–2.21) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.15–2.21.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.94–2.21), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.15–2.21). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.94St. Mirren 2.21GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.94 – 2.21
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.15–2.21
0.16 – 0.10
xG per shot
6 – 22
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.70 – 3.57
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
44 – 87
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.21 xGA
chances conceded
0.57 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
St. Mirren box touches
0.10
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
18progressive passes
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LDWLL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match