Aberdeen
4–1
FT · Win
Hibernian
1.69xG
+0.18AFC xGD
xG1.50
Expected points 1.59–1.59
Fortunate winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.
7–17 shots · 4–1 big chances · 0.90–1.50 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.69 – 1.50
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.90–1.50
0.24 – 0.09
xG per shot
7 – 17
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 3 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.29 – 2.36
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
48% – 53%
field tilt
44 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.13 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
24 (base 27)
Hibernian box touches
0.09
xG per Hibernian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.69Hibernian 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
40%
31%
29%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
4 goals: 1 open play, 2 corner, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 5 on target
By situation
29%
14%
29%
14%
14%
Open play229%
Counter114%
Corner229%
Free kick / throw114%
Penalty114%
By body part
57%
29%
14%
Right foot457%
Left foot229%
Head114%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Hibernian 17
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.5%
37.2%
10.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
82.3%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
23avg 49
Directness
58.1%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 254 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 21 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 21 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 68.9 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 55 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 55 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 13 | 26.3 | 25.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 18 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 18 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 40 | 54.6 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.7 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 110 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 110 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
5 saves
21/40
Pass
100%
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
17/23
Pass
43%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
S
A. StewartDEF90'
14 clearances
30/41
Pass
29%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 4 aerials won
31/42
Pass
70%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
1 goal · 5 aerials won
19/26
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
R
J. RichardsonMID90'
7 clearances
4/10
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
B
C. BarronMID90'
18/23
Pass
43%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID89'
1 goal · 1 assist · 1 big chance created
9/20
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Key P
C
H. CoulsonMID78'
5 clearances
11/12
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD89'
2 goals · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
10/14
Pass
36%
Duels
2
Shots
D
DukFWD73'
1/6
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
W
M. WatkinsFWD17'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
4/4
Pass
20%
Duels
-
Shots
M
J. MackenzieDEF12'
4/4
Pass
100%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
K
M. KennedyFWD1'
2/3
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
D
R. DuncanMID1'
0/1
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hibernian at Home — every meeting on record
5-2-4(11 games)
1.39–1.23avg xG (n=9)
WLWLDLDWWLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.69avg 1.22
10th best of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
1.50avg 1.64
19th best of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
39%avg 47%
13th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
7.0avg 11.6
9th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
6.0avg 3.6
7th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.7
3rd best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
13.0avg 20.0
11th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
44.0avg 55.1
8th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
4.0avg 8.1
9th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
5.0avg 4.8
14th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
15.0avg 14.7
18th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
7.0avg 9.0
19th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
23.1avg 17.6
9th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
48%field tilt
37th of 38 · among the worst
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:WLWWL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 1.60–1.18 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0.241
xG per shot
3rd highest of 191
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16
40.10
Average pass position
8th lowest of 192 · tied with 1