Motherwell
1–2
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.71xG
+0.41AFC xGD
xG1.11
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Motherwell generated more attacking volume — 12 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 7 and —. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.16 xG per shot to 0.06, and the bigger ones (2–2 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.11–0.71), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.11–0.71). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.11Motherwell 0.71GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.11 – 0.71
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.16 – 0.06
xG per shot
7 – 12
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 3 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.01 – 2.81
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
50 – 68
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.71 xGA
chances conceded
0.93 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Motherwell box touches
0.06
xG per Motherwell shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLWLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match