Kilmarnock
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.91xG
-1.48AFC xGD
xG0.42
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Kilmarnock generated more attacking volume — 17 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 9 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.42–1.91), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.42–1.91). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.42Kilmarnock 1.91GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.42 – 1.91
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.05 – 0.11
xG per shot
9 – 17
shots (AFC – Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.17 – 2.73
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
61 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.91 xGA
chances conceded
0.27 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Kilmarnock box touches
0.11
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match