Kilmarnock
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.91xG
-1.48AFC xGD
xG0.42
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
9–17 shots · 0–4 big chances · 0.42–1.91 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.42 – 1.91
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.05 – 0.11
xG per shot
9 – 17
shots
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.17 – 2.73
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
50% – 50%
field tilt
61 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.91 xGA
chances conceded
0.27 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
29 (base 27)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.11
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.42Kilmarnock 1.91GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
6%
17%
76%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
9shots · 2 on target
By situation
67%
11%
22%
Open play667%
Corner111%
Free kick / throw222%
By body part
67%
22%
11%
Right foot667%
Left foot222%
Head111%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Kilmarnock 17
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 52 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 4 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 22 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 22 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
50.1%
41.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.4%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
42avg 49
Directness
49.9%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 426 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 113 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 113 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 73.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 92 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 92 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 24 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 95 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 95 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 59 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 103 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 103 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.8 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 74 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 74 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
24/52
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
5 aerials won
43/56
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
9 clearances · 5 aerials won
48/59
Pass
75%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
35/45
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
MID
K
M. KennedyMID90'
1 goal · 1 key pass
35/50
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Key P
B
C. BarronMID77'
2 key passes
29/34
Pass
25%
Duels
2
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
47/58
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Key P
D
R. DuncanMID56'
11/18
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
C
H. CoulsonMID38'
7/11
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
3 shots
12/18
Pass
33%
Duels
3
Shots
D
DukFWD90'
1 key pass
13/15
Pass
35%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
B
V. BesuijenFWD52'
14/20
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Shots
R
C. RamirezFWD34'
5/7
Pass
25%
Duels
2
Shots
W
M. WatkinsFWD13'
0/1
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Kilmarnock — every meeting on record
2-0-4(6 games)
0.57–2.34avg xG (n=5)
LWLLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.42avg 1.26
7th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
1.91avg 1.63
15th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
61%avg 46%
6th best of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
9.0avg 11.6
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
12th worst of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
13.0avg 20.0
11th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
61.0avg 54.6
13th best of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
4.0avg 8.1
9th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
6.0avg 4.8
12th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
11.0avg 14.8
10th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
4.0avg 9.1
4th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
14.1avg 17.9
14th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg