Heart of Midlothian
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.55xG
-1.54AFC xGD
xG1.01
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
9–30 shots · 3–4 big chances · 1.01–2.55 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.01 – 2.55
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.11 – 0.09
xG per shot
9 – 30
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
3.01 – 3.41
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
58% – 42%
field tilt
59 – 82
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.55 xGA
chances conceded
0.92 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
49 (base 27)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.09
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
Heart of Midlothian accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.01Heart of Midlothian 2.55GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
11%
16%
73%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
30 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
9shots · 4 on target
By situation
56%
11%
22%
11%
Open play556%
Counter111%
Corner222%
Free kick / throw111%
By body part
44%
22%
33%
Right foot444%
Left foot222%
Head333%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Heart of Midlothian 30
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 52 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
42.2%
43.1%
14.7%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
78.4%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
39avg 49
Directness
68.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 276 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 30 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 30 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 60.9 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 16 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 16 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 19 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 49 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 49 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 63 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 130 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 130 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 22.8 | 15 | 15.6 | top 10% in 192 matches · 177 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 177 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
6 saves
10/23
Pass
100%
Duels
6
Saves
DEF
P
M. PollockDEF90'
1 goal · 3 shots · 4 interceptions
21/39
Pass
55%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF60'
5/11
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
1 key pass · 8 clearances · 5 aerials won
30/48
Pass
75%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
R
J. RichardsonMID90'
9/13
Pass
11%
Duels
-
Key P
B
C. BarronMID60'
3 interceptions
13/19
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID88'
10/20
Pass
22%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 assist · 2 big chances created · 3 key passes
34/49
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Key P
H
J. HayesMID60'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
3/8
Pass
17%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
W
M. WatkinsFWD79'
1 key pass · 4 aerials won
10/16
Pass
46%
Duels
1
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
4 aerials won
4/8
Pass
44%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
D
R. DuncanMID30'
11/12
Pass
80%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD30'
1/4
Pass
11%
Duels
-
Shots
M
J. MackenzieDEF30'
8/10
Pass
25%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
B
A. BavidgeMID13'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
-
Key P
M
D. MarkandayFWD11'
3/3
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
How this match compares to the season so far
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.01avg 1.24
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
2.55avg 1.61
8th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
39%avg 47%
13th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
9.0avg 11.6
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
4.0avg 3.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.8
8th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
26.0avg 19.6
9th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
59.0avg 54.7
16th best of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
2.0avg 4.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
14.0avg 14.7
18th worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
13.0avg 8.9
8th best of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
11.5avg 17.9
10th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWLD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
30
Shots conceded
5th highest of 409