Aberdeen
5–0
FT · Win
Livingston
4.14xG
+3.62AFC xGD
xG0.53
Expected points 2.44–0.20
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.21 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (6–1 big chances). The late penalty stretched the headline xG (4.14–0.53) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 2.57–0.53.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (4.14–0.53), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.57–0.53). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 4.14Livingston 0.53GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
4.14 – 0.53
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 2.57–0.53
0.21 – 0.07
xG per shot
20 – 7
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.21 xG per shot to 0.07.
Territory & progressionEVEN
3.21 – 1.94
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
63 – 42
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.53 xGA
chances conceded
1.11 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Livingston box touches
0.07
xG per Livingston shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4.14xG
1st of 38 · season best
+3.61xGD
1st of 38 · season best
6big chances
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
10high regains
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWLW(last 4)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match