Aberdeen
2–0
FT · Win
Heart of Midlothian
1.74xG
+0.37AFC xGD
xG1.36
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
16–13 shots · 4–2 big chances · 1.74–1.36 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.74 – 1.36
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.11 – 0.10
xG per shot
16 – 13
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.33 – 1.51
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
63% – 37%
field tilt
50 – 50
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Heart of Midlothian's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.36 xGA
chances conceded
0.27 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
14 (base 27)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.10
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.73Heart of Midlothian 1.36GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
47%
25%
28%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
16shots · 5 on target
By situation
69%
13%
19%
Open play1169%
Corner213%
Free kick / throw319%
By body part
56%
31%
13%
Right foot956%
Left foot531%
Head213%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 16Heart of Midlothian 13
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 142 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 142 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 11 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 147 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 147 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
37.3%
38.6%
24.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
78.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
37avg 49
Directness
60.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 273 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 27 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 27 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 65.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 35 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 35 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 15 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 29 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 29 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 36 | 54.6 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 4 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Rangers, Jan 2025 · 4 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.2 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 58 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 58 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
3 saves
20/35
Pass
100%
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
26/31
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
S
A. StewartDEF90'
7 clearances
26/32
Pass
50%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
6 tackles
20/35
Pass
53%
Duels
8
Tkl+Int
MID
R
J. RichardsonMID90'
9/16
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
B
C. BarronMID90'
1 key pass · 3 shots · 6 tackles
20/31
Pass
79%
Duels
1
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
20/27
Pass
63%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID70'
2 key passes
12/24
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Key P
M
J. MackenzieMID87'
15/18
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 big chance created · 3 key passes
10/17
Pass
15%
Duels
2
Shots
D
DukFWD81'
1 goal · 1 assist · 1 big chance created
9/10
Pass
71%
Duels
4
Shots
Substitutes
B
V. BesuijenFWD20'
1 goal
0/1
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
K
M. KennedyFWD10'
1/1
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
W
M. WatkinsFWD9'
0/0
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Heart of Midlothian at Home — every meeting on record
1-0-0(1 game)
2.66–1.83avg xG
W
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.73avg 1.22
9th best of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
1.36avg 1.64
17th best of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
41%avg 47%
15th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
16.0avg 11.4
6th best of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
5.0avg 3.7
11th best of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.7
3rd best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
28.0avg 19.6
8th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
50.0avg 54.9
14th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
12.0avg 7.9
6th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
4.0avg 4.9
18th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
21.0avg 14.5
2nd best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
7.0avg 9.0
19th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
14.4avg 17.9
15th best of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:WDLWL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 1.60–1.18 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16