Aberdeen
3–1
FT · Win
Motherwell
1.94xG
+1.09AFC xGD
xG0.85
Expected points 2.29–0.73
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
The late penalty stretched the headline xG (1.94–0.85) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.94–0.06.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.94–0.85), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.94–0.06). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.94Motherwell 0.85GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.94 – 0.85
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 1.94–0.06
0.16 – 0.21
xG per shot
12 – 4
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Motherwell created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.80 – 0.86
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
68 – 79
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.85 xGA
chances conceded
0.78 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Motherwell box touches
0.21
xG per Motherwell shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DWLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 13-2-4, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match