Ross County
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.94xG
-0.29AFC xGD
xG0.65
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Ross County generated more attacking volume — 14 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and —.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.65–0.94), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.65–0.94). Took 3.
Extreme fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.65Ross County 0.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.65 – 0.94
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24
0.06 – 0.07
xG per shot
11 – 14
shots (AFC – Ross County)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.29 – 1.71
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
58 – 103
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.94 xGA
chances conceded
0.70 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Ross County box touches
0.07
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match