Hibernian
3–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.80xG
-2.14AFC xGD
xG0.66
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
5–25 shots · 1–2 big chances · 0.66–2.01 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.66 – 2.80
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.66–2.01
0.13 – 0.11
xG per shot
5 – 25
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.04 – 5.26
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
50% – 50%
field tilt
38 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.80 xGA
chances conceded
1.17 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
56 (base 27)
Hibernian box touches
0.11
xG per Hibernian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.66Hibernian 2.80GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
11%
87%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
25 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
5shots · 1 on target
By situation
40%
20%
20%
20%
Open play240%
Counter120%
Corner120%
Free kick / throw120%
By body part
20%
40%
40%
Right foot120%
Left foot240%
Head240%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 5Hibernian 25
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 6 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 6 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 4 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 22 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 22 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
49.6%
40.1%
10.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.5%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
25avg 49
Directness
55.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 241 | 371.9 | 392 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 14 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 14 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 68.5 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 51 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 51 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 5 | 26.3 | 25.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs St. Mirren, Feb 2023 · 1 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs St. Mirren, Feb 2023 · 1 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 39 | 54.6 | 57.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 7 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 7 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 16.2 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 118 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 118 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
5 saves
20/45
Pass
100%
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
R
J. RichardsonDEF78'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
8/16
Pass
60%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
S
A. StewartDEF90'
7 clearances
29/38
Pass
58%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
S
L. ScalesDEF44'
17/25
Pass
25%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
C
H. CoulsonDEF55'
1 assist · 1 key pass
8/13
Pass
75%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
B
V. BesuijenMID78'
3 dribbles won
6/6
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
23/28
Pass
30%
Duels
-
Key P
M
R. McCrorieMID90'
5 tackles · 6 clearances · 5 aerials won
20/27
Pass
62%
Duels
-
Key P
H
J. HayesMID90'
1 key pass
21/26
Pass
64%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
6/9
Pass
14%
Duels
1
Shots
D
DukFWD45'
1 goal
3/5
Pass
75%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
P
D. PolvaraMID45'
9/11
Pass
80%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. MackenzieDEF35'
8/10
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
W
M. WatkinsFWD12'
1/2
Pass
0%
Duels
1
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD12'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Hibernian — every meeting on record
1-3-6(10 games)
1.27–1.63avg xG (n=9)
DLLDWLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.66avg 1.25
11th worst of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
2.80avg 1.61
5th worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
35%avg 47%
10th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
5.0avg 11.7
6th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
1.0avg 3.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
7.0avg 20.1
4th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
38.0avg 55.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
3.0avg 8.1
6th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
2.0avg 4.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
16.0avg 14.6
12th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
6.0avg 9.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
20.9avg 17.7
14th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WLWWD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
5
Final-third entries
3rd lowest of 192 · tied with 1
7
Touches in the box
10th lowest of 192 · tied with 5