AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Wed, 18 Jan 2023 · Away
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Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
5–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
3.54xG
-2.53AFC xGD
xG1.01
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat that matched the balance of chances.

9–13 shots · 1–7 big chances · 1.01–2.75 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.01 – 3.54
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 1.01–2.75
0.11 – 0.27
xG per shot
9 – 13
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.24 – 2.31
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
51% – 49%
field tilt
50 – 53
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
3.54 xGA
chances conceded
1.91 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
17 (base 27)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.27
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 1.02Heart of Midlothian 3.54GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
91%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.03.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Ginnelly0-2 · Smith0-3 · Shankland0-4 · Ginnelly0-5 · Devlin
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots

Heart of Midlothian Shot Map

5 goals: 3 open play, 1 free kick, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

9shots · 2 on target
By situation
44%
11%
11%
33%
Open play444%
Counter111%
Corner111%
Free kick / throw333%
By body part
44%
11%
44%
Right foot444%
Left foot111%
Head444%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Heart of Midlothian 13
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots99.912.114.4
below usual · 52 of 192 lower
Shots in the box75.97.99.8
about normal · 76 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
48.6%
36.0%
15.4%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
42avg 49
Directness
56.8%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes357371.9392
about normal · 75 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %68.675.772.2
below usual · 53 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2526.325.2
about normal · 103 of 192 lower
Long balls4254.657.8
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 15 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes11.81515.6
below usual · 38 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
L
J. LewisGK90'
DEF
K
M. KennedyDEF71'
1 big chance created · 3 key passes
M
R. McCrorieDEF90'
S
L. ScalesDEF90'
7 clearances
C
H. CoulsonDEF90'
MID
R
Y. RamadaniMID90'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
3 interceptions
H
J. HayesMID54'
1 key pass
C
L. ClarksonMID61'
1 key pass
D
DukMID72'
1 key pass
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD61'
Substitutes
B
V. BesuijenFWD36'
D
R. DuncanMID29'
1 key pass
M
P. MyslovičMID29'
R
J. RichardsonDEF19'
W
M. WatkinsFWD18'

Historical Context

How this match compares to the season so far

This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.02avg 1.24
19th best of 38 · Highest 4.14, 27 August 2022 (5-0) · Lowest 0.00, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
xGA
3.54avg 1.59
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 4.47, 29 October 2022 (1-4) · Lowest 0.32, 12 November 2022 (1-0)
Possession
45%avg 47%
17th worst of 38 · Highest 75%, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 20%, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Shots
9.0avg 11.6
16th worst of 38 · Highest 24.0, 8 November 2022 (1-2) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 10.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 17 December 2022 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 7.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 31 July 2022 (0-2)
Box touches
23.0avg 19.7
13th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0) · Lowest 4.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Final third entries
50.0avg 54.9
14th worst of 38 · Highest 77.0, 1 April 2023 (1-0) · Lowest 24.0, 18 February 2023 (0-4)
Key passes
7.0avg 8.0
18th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 6 August 2022 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 27 May 2023 (0-5)
Corners
8.0avg 4.8
6th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 3 September 2022 (1-1) · Lowest 0.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1)
Tackles
7.0avg 14.9
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 29.0, 23 April 2023 (2-0) · Lowest 7.0, 2 January 2023 (0-0)
Interceptions
6.0avg 9.1
14th worst of 38 · Highest 17.0, 22 October 2022 (2-1) · Lowest 3.0, 8 April 2023 (2-0)
PPDA
19.6avg 17.7
16th worst of 38 · Highest 37.9, 31 July 2022 (0-2) · Lowest 8.9, 1 April 2023 (1-0)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

3.54xGA
36th of 38 · among the worst
-2.52xGD
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLDW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.87–2.10 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
3.54
xG conceded
8th highest of 230
7
Big chances conceded
8th highest of 192 · tied with 4
-2.52
xG difference
9th lowest of 230