Hearts
5–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
3.54xG
-2.53AFC xGD
xG1.01
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
Hearts generated more attacking volume — 13 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 9 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.01–3.54) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.01–2.75.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (1.01–3.54), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.01–2.75). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.02Hearts 3.54GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.01 – 3.54
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 1.01–2.75
0.11 – 0.27
xG per shot
9 – 13
shots (AFC – Hearts)
Hearts created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.24 – 2.31
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
50 – 53
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
3.54 xGA
chances conceded
1.91 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Hearts box touches
0.27
xG per Hearts shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
3.54xGA
36th of 38 · among the worst
-2.52xGD
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLLDW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match