Rangers
4–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
4.47xG
-4.04AFC xGD
xG0.42
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 36 shots and — box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and —. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.42–4.47) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.42–3.68.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.42–4.47), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.42–3.68). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.42Rangers 4.47GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.42 – 4.47
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.24 · non-penalty 0.42–3.68
0.08 – 0.12
xG per shot
5 – 36
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.09 – 2.35
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.68
—
field tilt
34 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
4.47 xGA
chances conceded
2.83 worse than AFC baseline (1.64)
—
Rangers box touches
0.12
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4.47xGA
38th of 38 · season worst
-4.05xGD
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:LWLWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-1-13, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match