
Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Celtic
1.22xG
-0.82AFC xGD
xG2.04
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
7–22 shots · 1–2 big chances · 1.22–2.04 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.22 – 2.04
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.17 – 0.09
xG per shot
7 – 22
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.28 – 2.88
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
66% – 34%
field tilt
57 – 75
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Celtic's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.04 xGA
chances conceded
0.49 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
42 (base 25)
Celtic box touches
0.09
xG per Celtic shot
Celtic accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.22Celtic 2.04GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
20%
24%
56%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots
Celtic Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
22 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
7shots · 3 on target
By situation
14%
43%
14%
29%
Open play114%
Counter343%
Corner114%
Free kick / throw229%
By body part
71%
29%
Right foot571%
Left foot229%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 7Celtic 22
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | below usual · 25 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 37 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 37 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
34.1%
42.8%
23.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
73.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
29avg 49
Directness
56.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 250 | 371.9 | 392 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 19 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 19 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 61.6 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 20 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 20 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 21 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 71 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 71 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 54 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 69 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 69 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 21.6 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 171 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 171 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
3 saves
10/27
Pass
100%
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
8/15
Pass
63%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
7 clearances
16/27
Pass
38%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
9 clearances
17/25
Pass
25%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
3 interceptions · 5 tackles
17/24
Pass
70%
Duels
8
Tkl+Int
MID
B
C. BarronMID90'
22/29
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
3 shots · 4 aerials won
24/31
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID77'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 5 aerials won
16/33
Pass
55%
Duels
1
Key P
P
K. PhillipsMID62'
4/9
Pass
27%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
6 tackles · 7 clearances
17/24
Pass
56%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 goal
7/11
Pass
30%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
C
L. ClarksonMID28'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
4/7
Pass
-
Duels
1
Key P
D
DukFWD13'
1/1
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Celtic at Home — every meeting on record
0-1-8(9 games)
0.87–2.05avg xG (n=8)
LLLLLLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.22avg 1.41
17th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
2.04avg 1.53
9th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
29%avg 50%
4th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
7.0avg 12.5
6th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
3.0avg 4.2
15th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
9.0avg 23.6
5th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
57.0avg 64.3
13th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
2.0avg 8.7
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
1.0avg 4.8
5th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
20.0avg 17.0
11th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
9.0avg 7.6
12th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
30.2avg 16.0
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWDLD(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
30.23
PPDA
7th highest of 192