Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Celtic
1.22xG
-0.82AFC xGD
xG2.04
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
Celtic generated more attacking volume — 22 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 7 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.17 xG per shot to 0.09, and the bigger ones (1–2 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (1.22–2.04), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.22–2.04). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.22Celtic 2.04GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.22 – 2.04
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.17 – 0.09
xG per shot
7 – 22
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.28 – 2.88
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
57 – 75
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.04 xGA
chances conceded
0.49 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Celtic box touches
0.09
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWDLD(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match