Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Dundee FC
1.46xG
+0.88AFC xGD
xG0.59
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Two points dropped on the chances created.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.15 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (2–2 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.46–0.59) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.67–0.59.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.46–0.59), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.67–0.59). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.46Dundee FC 0.59GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.46 – 0.59
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.67–0.59
0.15 – 0.07
xG per shot
10 – 9
shots (AFC – Dundee FC)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.15 xG per shot to 0.07.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.45 – 1.92
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
76 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.59 xGA
chances conceded
0.96 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Dundee FC box touches
0.07
xG per Dundee FC shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WLWDL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match