Aberdeen
0–1
FT · Loss
Kilmarnock
1.14xG
+0.50AFC xGD
xG0.64
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Aberdeen created the better chances but failed to convert them.
18–8 shots · 1–2 big chances · 1.14–0.64 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.14 – 0.64
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.06 – 0.08
xG per shot
18 – 8
shots
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.86 – 1.84
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
57% – 43%
field tilt
77 – 56
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.64 xGA
chances conceded
0.91 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
14 (base 25)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.08
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.14Kilmarnock 0.64GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
49%
32%
19%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
18 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
18shots · 3 on target
By situation
56%
11%
33%
Open play1056%
Corner211%
Free kick / throw633%
By body part
56%
28%
17%
Right foot1056%
Left foot528%
Head317%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 18Kilmarnock 8
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 18 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 160 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 160 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 11 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 147 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 147 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
42.7%
37.5%
19.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
70avg 49
Directness
57.5%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 432 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 116 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 116 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 70.6 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 67 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 67 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 29 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 125 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 125 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 80 | 54.6 | 57.8 | top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 18.5 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 152 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 152 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
24/43
Pass
-
Duels
1
Saves
DEF
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
1 key pass
51/70
Pass
63%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF76'
6 aerials won
44/51
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
3 interceptions · 4 aerials won
40/54
Pass
70%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
MID
D
N. DevlinMID90'
1 key pass
25/33
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 5 shots
26/35
Pass
41%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 key pass
32/44
Pass
71%
Duels
1
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass
16/25
Pass
63%
Duels
1
Key P
H
J. HayesMID90'
2 key passes
23/33
Pass
40%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 key pass · 3 shots
14/22
Pass
42%
Duels
3
Shots
D
DukFWD76'
1 key pass · 3 dribbles won
12/14
Pass
47%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
M
J. McGarryDEF14'
1 key pass
6/7
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
S. MorrisFWD14'
4/5
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Kilmarnock at Home — every meeting on record
7-1-0(8 games)
1.80–0.75avg xG (n=7)
DWWWWWWW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.14avg 1.42
19th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
0.64avg 1.57
6th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
64%avg 49%
3rd best of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
18.0avg 12.2
5th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
3.0avg 4.2
15th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
30.0avg 23.1
8th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
77.0avg 63.7
7th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
10.0avg 8.5
11th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
4.0avg 4.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
6.0avg 7.7
17th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
10.9avg 16.6
4th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
1high regains
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LWLDL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg