Aberdeen
0–1
FT · Loss
Kilmarnock
1.14xG
+0.50AFC xGD
xG0.64
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (1.14–0.64), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.14–0.64). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.14Kilmarnock 0.64GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
1.14 – 0.64
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.06 – 0.08
xG per shot
18 – 8
shots (AFC – Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.86 – 1.84
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
77 – 56
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.64 xGA
chances conceded
0.91 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.08
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
1high regains
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LWLDL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match