Celtic
6–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
4.67xG
-4.48AFC xGD
xG0.18
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
Celtic generated more attacking volume — 21 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 3 and 0. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.18–4.67) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.18–3.88.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.18–4.67), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.18–3.88). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.18Celtic 4.67GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.18 – 4.67
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.18–3.88
0.06 – 0.22
xG per shot
3 – 21
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Celtic created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
0.91 – 3.66
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
35 – 104
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
4.67 xGA
chances conceded
3.12 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Celtic box touches
0.22
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.18xG
38th of 38 · season worst
4.67xGA
38th of 38 · season worst
-4.49xGD
38th of 38 · season worst
3shots
38th of 38 · season worst
12progressive passes
38th of 38 · season worst
Form:WWDLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match