Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Heart of Midlothian
1.74xG
+1.41AFC xGD
xG0.33
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
14–5 shots · 2–1 big chances · 1.74–0.33 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.74 – 0.33
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.12 – 0.07
xG per shot
14 – 5
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.12 xG per shot to 0.07.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.82 – 2.46
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
56% – 44%
field tilt
59 – 56
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.33 xGA
chances conceded
1.21 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
16 (base 25)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.07
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.74Heart of Midlothian 0.33GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
77%
18%
5%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
14shots · 6 on target
By situation
71%
14%
Open play1071%
Counter17%
Corner17%
Free kick / throw214%
By body part
57%
29%
14%
Right foot857%
Left foot429%
Head214%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 14Heart of Midlothian 5
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 121 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 121 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 10 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 136 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 136 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
44.4%
37.5%
18.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.2%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
46avg 49
Directness
59.5%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 382 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 90 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 90 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 69.4 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 60 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 23 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 88 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 88 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 57 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 91 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 91 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.9 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 92 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 92 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
21/33
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 clearances · 6 aerials won
38/49
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
39/51
Pass
83%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
5 interceptions · 4 tackles
35/40
Pass
67%
Duels
9
Tkl+Int
MID
J. MilneMID73'
14/23
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 goal · 1 key pass
22/30
Pass
20%
Duels
1
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
2 key passes
27/38
Pass
47%
Duels
2
Key P
H
J. HayesMID90'
2 key passes
22/35
Pass
75%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
M
J. McGrathFWD89'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 3 key passes
24/31
Pass
64%
Duels
2
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD77'
1 goal · 1 key pass
13/18
Pass
13%
Duels
2
Shots
S
E. SoklerFWD73'
1 key pass
12/17
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
D
DukFWD17'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
4/6
Pass
33%
Duels
3
Shots
M
S. MorrisFWD17'
1 key pass
3/4
Pass
40%
Duels
-
Shots
P
D. PolvaraMID13'
4/7
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
M
A. MacDonaldDEF1'
0/0
Pass
-
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Heart of Midlothian at Home — every meeting on record
1-0-0(1 game)
2.66–1.83avg xG
W
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.74avg 1.40
11th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
0.33avg 1.58
2nd best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
51%avg 49%
19th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
14.0avg 12.3
13th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
6.0avg 4.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
24.0avg 23.2
18th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
59.0avg 64.2
15th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
13.0avg 8.4
5th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
15.0avg 17.1
16th worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
10.0avg 7.6
9th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
13.1avg 16.5
15th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.33xGA
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:WLDLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg