AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 6 Apr 2024 · Away
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Livingston
Livingston
00
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
0.76xG
+0.16AFC xGD
xG0.92
Expected points 1.581.58
Tight game
The verdict
Event data: Opta

Two points dropped on the chances created.

Livingston generated more attacking volume — 9 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.18 xG per shot to 0.08, and the bigger ones (1–1 big chances).

Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.581.58
From the full xG (0.920.76), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.920.76). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.92Livingston 0.76GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
0.00.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
0.92 – 0.76
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.18 – 0.08
xG per shot
5 – 9
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.36 – 2.43
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
field tilt
78 – 57
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.76 xGA
chances conceded
0.79 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Livingston box touches
0.08
xG per Livingston shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.000.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match