Aberdeen
1–3
FT · Loss
Celtic
1.76xG
-1.18AFC xGD
xG2.94
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
11–16 shots · 2–6 big chances · 1.76–2.94 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.76 – 2.94
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.16 – 0.18
xG per shot
11 – 16
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.83 – 3.59
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Celtic
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
75% – 26%
field tilt
71 – 65
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Celtic's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.94 xGA
chances conceded
1.39 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
30 (base 25)
Celtic box touches
0.18
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.76Celtic 2.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
13%
19%
67%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
Celtic Shot Map
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
11shots · 2 on target
By situation
55%
18%
27%
Open play655%
Corner218%
Free kick / throw327%
By body part
27%
55%
18%
Right foot327%
Left foot655%
Head218%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11Celtic 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 8 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 100 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 100 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
25.5%
44.7%
29.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
71.0%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
28avg 49
Directness
58.3%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 243 | 371.9 | 392 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 15 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 15 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 51.9 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 4 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 4 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 20 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 60 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 47 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 33 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 33 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 19.3 | 15 | 15.6 | above usual · 157 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
1 key pass · 5 saves
9/29
Pass
100%
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
9/22
Pass
67%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
4 interceptions · 7 clearances
12/26
Pass
40%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
5 clearances
18/33
Pass
71%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
M
S. MorrisMID90'
3 dribbles won
7/14
Pass
57%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 key pass
22/35
Pass
83%
Duels
1
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass · 4 tackles
16/19
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Key P
D
R. DuncanMID90'
1 key pass · 3 shots
10/22
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
P
D. PolvaraFWD90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
13/22
Pass
53%
Duels
2
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 3 shots
10/14
Pass
25%
Duels
3
Shots
D
DukFWD78'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
6/10
Pass
27%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
S
E. SoklerFWD12'
0/1
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Celtic at Home — every meeting on record
0-2-7(9 games)
0.80–1.94avg xG (n=8)
LLLLDLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.76avg 1.40
10th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
2.94avg 1.51
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
33%avg 49%
7th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
11.0avg 12.4
19th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.2
8th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.8
11th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
26.0avg 23.2
17th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
71.0avg 63.9
15th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
8.0avg 8.5
19th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
9.0avg 4.6
4th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
20.0avg 17.0
11th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
11.0avg 7.6
8th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
17.6avg 16.4
13th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
75%field tilt
1st of 38 · season best
2.94xGA
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:D(last 1)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
51.90%
Pass completion
5th lowest of 192
126
Open-play passes
7th lowest of 192
51.60
Average pass position
9th highest of 192 · tied with 1