Aberdeen
1–3
FT · Loss
Celtic
1.76xG
-1.18AFC xGD
xG2.94
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Celtic generated more attacking volume — 16 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and 0.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (1.76–2.94), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.76–2.94). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.76Celtic 2.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.76 – 2.94
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.16 – 0.18
xG per shot
11 – 16
shots (AFC – Celtic)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.83 – 3.59
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
71 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.94 xGA
chances conceded
1.39 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Celtic box touches
0.18
xG per Celtic shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
2.94xGA
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:D(last 1)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match