Aberdeen
4–0
FT · WinRoss County
3.33xG
+2.48AFC xGD
xG0.85
Expected points 2.44–0.20
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.26 xG per shot to 0.08, and the bigger ones (5–1 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (3.33–0.85), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (3.33–0.85). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 3.33Ross County 0.85GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
3.33 – 0.85
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.26 – 0.08
xG per shot
13 – 11
shots (AFC – Ross County)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.26 xG per shot to 0.08.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.68 – 1.77
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
61 – 79
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.85 xGA
chances conceded
0.70 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Ross County box touches
0.08
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
+2.48xGD
1st of 38 · season best
5big chances
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
3.33xG
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:DLDLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match