AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Wed, 13 Mar 2024 · Away
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Dundee FC
Dundee FC
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.92xG
-1.25AFC xGD
xG0.66
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

10–18 shots · 0–2 big chances · 0.66–1.13 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.66 – 1.92
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.66–1.13
0.07 – 0.11
xG per shot
10 – 18
shots
Dundee FC created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.91 – 2.53
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
66% – 35%
field tilt
57 – 80
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Dundee FC's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.92 xGA
chances conceded
0.37 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
22 (base 25)
Dundee FC box touches
0.11
xG per Dundee FC shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.66Dundee FC 1.92GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
19%
74%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · McCowan
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots

Dundee FC Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
18 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

10shots · 2 on target
By situation
70%
30%
Open play770%
Free kick / throw330%
By body part
50%
30%
10%
10%
Right foot550%
Left foot330%
Head110%
Other110%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Dundee FC 18
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots109.912.114.4
about normal · 68 of 192 lower
Shots in the box65.97.99.8
below usual · 54 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
34.5%
39.4%
26.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
72.3%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
48avg 49
Directness
65.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes270371.9392
below usual · 25 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %60.775.772.2
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 15 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1826.325.2
below usual · 42 of 192 lower
Long balls6454.657.8
above usual · 135 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes23.71515.6
top 10% in 192 matches · 181 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
5 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
5 clearances
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
MID
B
C. BarronMID80'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
8 tackles
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 key pass
P
K. PhillipsMID71'
5 clearances · 4 aerials won
H
J. HoilettMID60'
3 dribbles won
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 key pass
Substitutes
D
DukFWD30'
C
L. ClarksonMID19'
2 key passes
S
E. SoklerFWD10'
1 key pass

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Dundee FC — every meeting on record
3-1-3(7 games)
1.07–1.41avg xG
LLWWWDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.66avg 1.43
7th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.92avg 1.54
13th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
46%avg 49%
11th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
10.0avg 12.4
15th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.2
8th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.9
6th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
20.0avg 23.3
16th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
57.0avg 64.3
13th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.6
13th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
4.0avg 4.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
24.0avg 16.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
3.0avg 7.8
5th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
11.3avg 16.6
5th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DDLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg