Dundee FC
1–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.92xG
-1.25AFC xGD
xG0.66
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Dundee FC generated more attacking volume — 18 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 10 and 0. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.66–1.92) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.66–1.13.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.66–1.92), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.66–1.13). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.66Dundee FC 1.92GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.66 – 1.92
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.66–1.13
0.07 – 0.11
xG per shot
10 – 18
shots (AFC – Dundee FC)
Dundee FC created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.91 – 2.53
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
57 – 80
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.92 xGA
chances conceded
0.37 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Dundee FC box touches
0.11
xG per Dundee FC shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DDLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match