St. Mirren
2–2
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
1.97xG
-1.10AFC xGD
xG0.87
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
St. Mirren generated more attacking volume — 13 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 4 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.22 xG per shot to 0.15, and the bigger ones (1–4 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.87–1.97) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.09–1.18.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.87–1.97), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.09–1.18). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.87St. Mirren 1.97GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.87 – 1.97
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.09–1.18
0.22 – 0.15
xG per shot
4 – 13
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.51 – 2.27
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
75 – 83
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.97 xGA
chances conceded
0.42 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
St. Mirren box touches
0.15
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4shots
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DL(last 2)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match