St. Mirren
2–2
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
1.97xG
-1.10AFC xGD
xG0.87
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A draw broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
4–13 shots · 1–4 big chances · 0.09–1.18 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.87 – 1.97
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.09–1.18
0.22 – 0.15
xG per shot
4 – 13
shots
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was far as valuable.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.51 – 2.27
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
62% – 38%
field tilt
75 – 83
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into St. Mirren's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.97 xGA
chances conceded
0.42 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
31 (base 25)
St. Mirren box touches
0.15
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.87St. Mirren 1.97GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
26%
68%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 0 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
4 shots
St. Mirren Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
4shots · 2 on target
By situation
25%
25%
25%
25%
Open play125%
Corner125%
Free kick / throw125%
Penalty125%
By body part
50%
50%
Right foot250%
Left foot250%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 4St. Mirren 13
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 4 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 4 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 1 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, May 2023 · 2 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, May 2023 · 2 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
37.6%
42.9%
19.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
71.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
38avg 49
Directness
58.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 366 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 81 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 81 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 61.2 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 17 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Dundee United, Feb 2026 · 17 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 22 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 62 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 124 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 124 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 16.9 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 133 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 133 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
4 saves
18/41
Pass
100%
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
7 tackles · 4 aerials won
25/39
Pass
73%
Duels
9
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
6 clearances
29/40
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF56'
4 tackles
17/26
Pass
54%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
D
N. DevlinMID90'
5 clearances · 7 aerials won
18/31
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
37/57
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
20/26
Pass
36%
Duels
-
Key P
H
J. HayesMID52'
1 goal
12/26
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
P
D. PolvaraFWD57'
14/20
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 goal
8/13
Pass
29%
Duels
1
Shots
D
DukFWD77'
4 aerials won
2/8
Pass
37%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
M
J. McGarryDEF38'
1 key pass
7/12
Pass
33%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF34'
4 aerials won
14/17
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
M
J. McGrathMID33'
7/15
Pass
29%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD13'
3/5
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At St. Mirren — every meeting on record
1-1-7(9 games)
1.00–1.38avg xG (n=8)
LWLLLLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.87avg 1.42
10th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.97avg 1.54
11th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
53%avg 49%
15th best of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
4.0avg 12.5
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
2.0avg 4.2
8th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
8.0avg 23.6
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
75.0avg 63.8
9th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
1.0avg 8.7
worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 3 February 2024 (1-1)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
22.0avg 16.9
7th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
4.0avg 7.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
14.1avg 16.5
19th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4shots
37th of 38 · among the worst
8box touches
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DL(last 2)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0.217
xG per shot
5th highest of 191