St. Mirren
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.01xG
-1.03AFC xGD
xG0.98
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
St. Mirren generated more attacking volume — 14 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 9 and 0. The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.98–2.01) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.98–1.22.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.98–2.01), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.98–1.22). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.98St. Mirren 2.01GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 2.01
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.98–1.22
0.11 – 0.14
xG per shot
9 – 14
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.37 – 2.83
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
67 – 88
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.01 xGA
chances conceded
0.46 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
St. Mirren box touches
0.14
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LDDLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match