AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 2 Mar 2024 · Away
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St. Mirren
St. Mirren
2–1
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.01xG
-1.03AFC xGD
xG0.98
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

9–14 shots · 1–5 big chances · 0.98–1.22 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 2.01
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.98–1.22
0.11 – 0.14
xG per shot
9 – 14
shots
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.37 – 2.83
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
67% – 33%
field tilt
67 – 88
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into St. Mirren's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.01 xGA
chances conceded
0.46 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
28 (base 25)
St. Mirren box touches
0.14
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.98St. Mirren 2.01GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
12%
22%
66%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Barron1-1 · O'Hara1-2 · Olusanya
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots

St. Mirren Shot Map

2 goals: 1 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

9shots · 3 on target
By situation
44%
11%
44%
Open play444%
Corner111%
Free kick / throw444%
By body part
33%
56%
11%
Right foot333%
Left foot556%
Head111%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9St. Mirren 14
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots99.912.114.4
below usual · 52 of 192 lower
Shots in the box55.97.99.8
below usual · 37 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
32.7%
41.3%
26.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
54.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
30avg 49
Directness
65.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes189371.9392
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Celtic, Dec 2022 · 1 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %48.175.772.2
lowest in 192 matches · 0 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1326.325.2
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Heart of Midlothian, Feb 2026 · 18 of 192 lower
Long balls5454.657.8
about normal · 69 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes28.61515.6
top 10% in 192 matches · 189 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
3 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
7 clearances · 5 aerials won
J
R. JensenDEF90'
9 clearances · 8 aerials won
MID
B
C. BarronMID90'
1 goal
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
D
DukMID64'
1 key pass
P
K. PhillipsMID90'
H
J. HoilettMID63'
1 big chance created · 4 key passes
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 key pass
Substitutes
M
J. McGrathMID27'
M
J. McGarryDEF26'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At St. Mirren — every meeting on record
1-2-6(9 games)
0.98–1.38avg xG (n=8)
LWLLDLLLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.98avg 1.42
14th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
2.01avg 1.53
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
32%avg 49%
6th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
9.0avg 12.4
9th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
3.0avg 4.2
15th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
13.0avg 23.5
7th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
67.0avg 64.0
16th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.6
13th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
2.0avg 4.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
9.0avg 17.3
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
3.0avg 7.8
5th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
13.4avg 16.5
16th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LDDLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
91
Open-play passes
lowest of 192
48.10%
Pass completion
2nd lowest of 192 · tied with 1
28.57%
Long-ball share
3rd highest of 192
44
Passes in the opposition half
7th lowest of 192 · tied with 1