Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
St. Johnstone
2.17xG
+0.48AFC xGD
xG1.69
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Unfortunate defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (2.17–1.69) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 2.17–0.90.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 0.73
From the full xG (2.17–1.69), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.17–0.90). Took 0.
Extreme misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.17St. Johnstone 1.69GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.17 – 1.69
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 2.17–0.90
0.13 – 0.21
xG per shot
17 – 8
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
St. Johnstone created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.62 – 1.58
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
75 – 56
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.69 xGA
chances conceded
0.14 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
St. Johnstone box touches
0.21
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLDDL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match