Kilmarnock
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.85xG
-1.56AFC xGD
xG0.29
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A fair defeat.
Kilmarnock generated more attacking volume — 19 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and 0.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.29–1.85), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.20 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.29–1.85). Took 0.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.29Kilmarnock 1.85GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.29 – 1.85
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.06 – 0.10
xG per shot
5 – 19
shots (AFC – Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.89 – 2.71
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
86 – 68
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.85 xGA
chances conceded
0.31 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.10
xG per Kilmarnock shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.29xG
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLWWD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match