Kilmarnock
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.85xG
-1.56AFC xGD
xG0.29
Expected points 2.44–0.19
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
5–19 shots · 1–2 big chances · 0.29–1.85 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.29 – 1.85
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.06 – 0.10
xG per shot
5 – 19
shots
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.89 – 2.71
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
58% – 42%
field tilt
86 – 68
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Kilmarnock's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.85 xGA
chances conceded
0.31 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
28 (base 25)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.10
xG per Kilmarnock shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.29Kilmarnock 1.85GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
4%
16%
80%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
5 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
19 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
5shots · 1 on target
By situation
60%
20%
20%
Open play360%
Corner120%
Free kick / throw120%
By body part
40%
20%
40%
Right foot240%
Left foot120%
Head240%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 5Kilmarnock 19
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 6 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Nov 2023 · 6 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 4 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 22 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 22 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
41.6%
48.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
78.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
34avg 49
Directness
64.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 326 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 52 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 52 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 58 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 10 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 10 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 18 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 42 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 78 | 54.6 | 57.8 | top 10% in 192 matches · 174 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 174 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 23.9 | 15 | 15.6 | top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
6 saves
18/38
Pass
-
Duels
6
Saves
DEF
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
6 clearances
23/46
Pass
70%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
10 clearances · 13 aerials won
26/39
Pass
64%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
3 interceptions · 6 aerials won
33/49
Pass
50%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
MID
D
N. DevlinMID90'
4 aerials won
11/19
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
B
C. BarronMID56'
13/18
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID56'
10/16
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. MackenzieMID45'
5 tackles · 4 aerials won
7/19
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
J. McGrathFWD71'
9/14
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
4 aerials won
11/20
Pass
55%
Duels
2
Shots
D
DukFWD90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass
8/16
Pass
36%
Duels
-
Shots
Substitutes
D
R. DuncanMID45'
3/6
Pass
25%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID34'
2 key passes
12/18
Pass
50%
Duels
2
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID34'
9/13
Pass
63%
Duels
-
Key P
S
E. SoklerFWD19'
3/3
Pass
50%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Kilmarnock — every meeting on record
2-0-4(6 games)
0.59–2.36avg xG (n=5)
LWLLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.29avg 1.44
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.85avg 1.54
14th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
51%avg 49%
19th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
5.0avg 12.5
5th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
1.0avg 4.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
17.0avg 23.4
11th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
86.0avg 63.5
2nd best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
3.0avg 8.7
4th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
20.0avg 17.0
11th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
6.0avg 7.7
17th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
18.4avg 16.4
10th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.29xG
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLWWD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
23.93%
Long-ball share
9th highest of 192