Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Livingston
1.00xG
-0.53AFC xGD
xG1.53
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Fortunate winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.00–1.53), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.00–1.53). Took 3.
Extreme fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.00Livingston 1.53GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.00 – 1.53
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.09 – 0.14
xG per shot
11 – 11
shots (AFC – Livingston)
Livingston created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.08 – 2.70
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
64 – 89
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.53 xGA
chances conceded
0.02 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Livingston box touches
0.14
xG per Livingston shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LDLLW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match