AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 30 Mar 2024 · Pittodrie
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Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2–1
FT · Win
Ross County
0.71xG
-0.11AFC xGD
xG0.81
Expected points 1.59–1.59
Tight game
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A win broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

10–10 shots · 1–1 big chances · 0.71–0.81 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
0.71 – 0.81
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Ross County
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.07 – 0.08
xG per shot
10 – 10
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.76 – 2.55
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Ross County
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
57% – 43%
field tilt
61 – 100
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.81 xGA
chances conceded
0.73 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
26 (base 25)
Ross County box touches
0.08
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.71Ross County 0.82GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
28%
37%
35%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Miovski1-1 · Murray2-1 · McGrath
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots

Ross County Shot Map

1 goal: 0 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

10shots · 5 on target
By situation
90%
10%
Open play990%
Free kick / throw110%
By body part
60%
30%
10%
Right foot660%
Left foot330%
Head110%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Ross County 10
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots109.912.114.4
about normal · 68 of 192 lower
Shots in the box75.97.99.8
about normal · 76 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
43.1%
35.8%
21.1%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
81.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
50avg 49
Directness
57.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes382371.9392
about normal · 90 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %68.875.772.2
below usual · 54 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2326.325.2
about normal · 88 of 192 lower
Long balls7054.657.8
above usual · 160 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes18.31515.6
above usual · 151 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
6 clearances
J
R. JensenDEF90'
6 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass
MID
B
C. BarronMID67'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
5 tackles
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 goal · 2 key passes · 5 tackles
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
1 key pass
H
J. HoilettMID67'
1 assist · 2 key passes
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD89'
1 goal
Substitutes
P
D. PolvaraMID23'
1 key pass
D
DukFWD23'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
S
E. SoklerFWD1'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs Ross County at Home — every meeting on record
2-2-2(6 games)
2.19–0.83avg xG (n=5)
LWDLDW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.71avg 1.43
9th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
0.82avg 1.57
9th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
50%avg 49%
17th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
10.0avg 12.4
15th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
4.0avg 4.2
16th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
17.0avg 23.4
11th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
61.0avg 64.2
18th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
8.0avg 8.5
19th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
2.0avg 4.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
21.0avg 16.9
9th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
5.0avg 7.8
13th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
14.7avg 16.5
17th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLLW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg