Aberdeen
2–1
FT · WinRoss County
0.71xG
-0.11AFC xGD
xG0.81
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.71–0.81), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.71–0.81). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.71Ross County 0.82GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
0.71 – 0.81
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.07 – 0.08
xG per shot
10 – 10
shots (AFC – Ross County)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.76 – 2.55
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
61 – 100
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.81 xGA
chances conceded
0.73 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Ross County box touches
0.08
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LLLLW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match