Motherwell
0–1
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.32xG
-0.15AFC xGD
xG1.17
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.17–1.32), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.17–1.32). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.17Motherwell 1.32GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.17 – 1.32
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.08 – 0.09
xG per shot
14 – 14
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.99 – 3.86
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
46 – 85
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.32 xGA
chances conceded
0.23 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Motherwell box touches
0.09
xG per Motherwell shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLLLL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match