Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
Hibernian
0.98xG
-0.26AFC xGD
xG1.23
Expected points 0.73–1.58
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Hibernian generated more attacking volume — 15 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 10 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.10 xG per shot to 0.08, and the bigger ones (1–2 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.98–1.23), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.98–1.23). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.98Hibernian 1.23GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 1.23
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.10 – 0.08
xG per shot
10 – 15
shots (AFC – Hibernian)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.36 – 2.15
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
61 – 67
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.23 xGA
chances conceded
0.31 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Hibernian box touches
0.08
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLD(last 3)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match