Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
Hibernian
0.98xG
-0.26AFC xGD
xG1.23
Expected points 0.72–1.59
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.
10–15 shots · 1–2 big chances · 0.98–1.23 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
0.98 – 1.23
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.10 – 0.08
xG per shot
10 – 15
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.36 – 2.15
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
63% – 37%
field tilt
61 – 67
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Hibernian's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.23 xGA
chances conceded
0.31 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
27 (base 25)
Hibernian box touches
0.08
xG per Hibernian shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.98Hibernian 1.23GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
29%
30%
41%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
10shots · 3 on target
By situation
70%
30%
Open play770%
Corner330%
By body part
20%
60%
20%
Right foot220%
Left foot660%
Head220%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Hibernian 15
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 68 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 68 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 7 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 76 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 76 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
36.9%
35.7%
27.4%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
87.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
70avg 49
Directness
62.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 372 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 83 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 83 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 71.8 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 79 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 79 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 26 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 108 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 108 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 54 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 69 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 69 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14.5 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 87 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 87 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
5 saves
15/24
Pass
-
Duels
5
Saves
DEF
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
33/38
Pass
33%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF45'
21/27
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
5 aerials won
40/53
Pass
58%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
D
N. DevlinMID90'
1 key pass
22/31
Pass
56%
Duels
1
Key P
B
C. BarronMID62'
1 key pass · 4 tackles
30/37
Pass
64%
Duels
1
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID76'
17/19
Pass
37%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGarryMID90'
2 key passes
31/40
Pass
30%
Duels
2
Key P
FWD
M
J. McGrathFWD90'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
23/34
Pass
27%
Duels
-
Shots
D
DukFWD79'
2 key passes · 3 dribbles won
9/10
Pass
30%
Duels
1
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
5 shots
8/11
Pass
50%
Duels
5
Shots
Substitutes
S
E. SoklerFWD29'
1/6
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Shots
C
L. ClarksonMID28'
12/17
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
M
S. MorrisFWD16'
3/4
Pass
-
Duels
-
Shots
P
D. PolvaraMID14'
10/14
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
H
P. H. GueyeFWD11'
4/5
Pass
43%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Hibernian at Home — every meeting on record
6-2-3(11 games)
1.47–1.26avg xG (n=9)
WLWLDDWWWLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.98avg 1.42
14th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.23avg 1.56
16th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
56%avg 49%
8th best of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
10.0avg 12.4
15th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
3.0avg 4.2
15th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
28.0avg 23.1
14th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
61.0avg 64.2
18th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
8.0avg 8.5
19th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
7.0avg 4.7
6th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
16th best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
3.0avg 7.8
5th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
12.1avg 16.5
11th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLD(last 3)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 1.63–1.40 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
51.60
Average pass position
9th highest of 192 · tied with 1
10
High regains
9th highest of 192 · tied with 8