Kilmarnock
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.94xG
-1.46AFC xGD
xG0.48
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
10–20 shots · 0–5 big chances · 0.48–1.94 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.48 – 1.94
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.05 – 0.10
xG per shot
10 – 20
shots
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.52 – 3.49
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
66% – 34%
field tilt
79 – 66
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Kilmarnock's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.94 xGA
chances conceded
0.39 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
36 (base 25)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.10
xG per Kilmarnock shot
Kilmarnock accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.48Kilmarnock 1.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
7%
18%
74%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
Kilmarnock Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
20 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
10shots · 1 on target
By situation
70%
10%
20%
Open play770%
Corner110%
Free kick / throw220%
By body part
50%
20%
30%
Right foot550%
Left foot220%
Head330%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 10Kilmarnock 20
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 68 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 68 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 7 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | about normal · 76 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 76 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
33.6%
46.8%
19.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
64.0%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
42avg 49
Directness
56.3%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 269 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 24 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 24 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 50.6 | 75.7 | 72.2 | bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 3 of 192 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since @ St. Mirren, Mar 2024 · 3 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 14 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 24 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 24 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 79 | 54.6 | 57.8 | top 10% in 192 matches · 177 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 177 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 29.4 | 15 | 15.6 | top 10% in 192 matches · 190 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 190 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
6 saves
5/33
Pass
-
Duels
6
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
5 clearances
13/22
Pass
44%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
11 clearances · 5 aerials won
12/34
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
2 key passes · 7 clearances · 14 aerials won
20/36
Pass
71%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
13/18
Pass
42%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
B
C. BarronMID90'
1 key pass
26/42
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
4 aerials won
15/27
Pass
39%
Duels
-
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID59'
1 key pass · 3 shots
10/18
Pass
31%
Duels
1
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
2 key passes · 3 shots · 5 tackles
13/23
Pass
44%
Duels
2
Key P
D
DukMID59'
1 key pass
2/8
Pass
18%
Duels
1
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
6/9
Pass
6%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
H
J. HoilettMID31'
2/5
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
S
E. SoklerFWD31'
2/6
Pass
38%
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Kilmarnock — every meeting on record
2-0-4(6 games)
0.55–2.34avg xG (n=5)
LWLLLW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.48avg 1.43
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.94avg 1.54
12th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
48%avg 49%
14th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
10.0avg 12.4
15th worst of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
1.0avg 4.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.9
6th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
16.0avg 23.4
8th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
79.0avg 63.7
4th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
7.0avg 8.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
12.0avg 17.2
7th worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
4.0avg 7.8
8th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
11.8avg 16.5
9th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.48xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DDLDD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
29.37%
Long-ball share
2nd highest of 192
50.60%
Pass completion
4th lowest of 192