Kilmarnock
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.94xG
-1.46AFC xGD
xG0.48
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Kilmarnock generated more attacking volume — 20 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 10 and 0.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.48–1.94), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.48–1.94). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.48Kilmarnock 1.94GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.48 – 1.94
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.05 – 0.10
xG per shot
10 – 20
shots (AFC – Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.52 – 3.49
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
79 – 66
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.94 xGA
chances conceded
0.39 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.10
xG per Kilmarnock shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.48xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DDLDD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match