Hibernian
0–4
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.03xG
+1.30AFC xGD
xG2.33
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
16–16 shots · 4–1 big chances · 2.33–1.03 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.33 – 1.03
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.15 – 0.06
xG per shot
16 – 16
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.15 xG per shot to 0.06.
Territory & progressionOPPONENT EDGE
1.95 – 3.70
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Hibernian
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
43% – 58%
field tilt
39 – 65
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.03 xGA
chances conceded
0.52 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
29 (base 25)
Hibernian box touches
0.06
xG per Hibernian shot
Hibernian accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.33Hibernian 1.03GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
71%
18%
10%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
4 goals: 4 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Hibernian Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
16shots · 4 on target
By situation
88%
Open play1488%
Corner16%
Free kick / throw16%
By body part
56%
25%
19%
Right foot956%
Left foot425%
Head319%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 16Hibernian 16
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | above usual · 142 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 142 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 12 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 157 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 157 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
57.5%
27.5%
15.0%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
88.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
38avg 49
Directness
62.1%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 363 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 77 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 77 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 80.4 | 75.7 | 72.2 | above usual · 166 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 166 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 20 | 26.3 | 25.2 | about normal · 60 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 60 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 51 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 55 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 55 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 14 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
4 saves
15/26
Pass
-
Duels
4
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
2 key passes
20/32
Pass
67%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
9 clearances
41/45
Pass
63%
Duels
4
Tkl+Int
M
A. MacDonaldDEF90'
32/38
Pass
67%
Duels
0
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF77'
1 assist · 4 key passes
29/37
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
MID
B
C. BarronMID90'
36/43
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
2 key passes
26/29
Pass
26%
Duels
2
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID83'
1 goal · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
25/29
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
P
D. PolvaraMID67'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 3 shots
15/19
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
H
J. HoilettMID77'
2 assists · 1 big chance created · 3 key passes
28/32
Pass
67%
Duels
3
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD67'
1 goal · 5 shots
4/6
Pass
33%
Duels
5
Shots
Substitutes
S
E. SoklerFWD23'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
3/7
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Shots
S
G. ShinnieMID23'
13/13
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGarryDEF13'
6/7
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
D
DukFWD13'
5/7
Pass
33%
Duels
-
Shots
B
F. BoydMID11'
1 goal
4/5
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Hibernian — every meeting on record
0-3-7(10 games)
1.09–1.83avg xG (n=9)
DLLDLLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.33avg 1.38
5th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.03avg 1.56
13th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
42%avg 49%
8th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
16.0avg 12.2
8th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
4.0avg 4.2
16th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.8
3rd best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
22.0avg 23.3
18th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
39.0avg 64.8
2nd worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
14.0avg 8.4
3rd best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
15.0avg 17.1
16th worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
7.0avg 7.7
19th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
28.3avg 16.1
4th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
43%field tilt
38th of 38 · season worst
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:WDDWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16