Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Rangers
0.60xG
-2.04AFC xGD
xG2.64
Expected points 0.20–2.44
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 23 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 5 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.12 xG per shot to 0.11, and the bigger ones (1–5 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (0.60–2.64) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.60–1.85.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (0.60–2.64), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.60–1.85). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.60Rangers 2.64GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.60 – 2.64
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.60–1.85
0.12 – 0.11
xG per shot
5 – 23
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.11 – 2.93
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
75 – 86
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.64 xGA
chances conceded
1.09 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Rangers box touches
0.11
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
-2.04xGD
37th of 38 · among the worst
Form:WDLWL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match