Ross County
2–2
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
2.31xG
-1.00AFC xGD
xG1.30
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Tight gameMatch in 30 seconds
Set-piece threat
1set-piece goal
Dead balls did damage: 1 goal from set pieces (0.72 set-piece xG).
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 1 pt · expected 1.58 (excl. pen) · -0.58
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?19% luck · mostly down to skill
About 19% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck, a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample; finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. A penalty was left out of the expected-points read, since winning a penalty is not open-play merit.
Match Story
Aberdeen 1.30Ross County 2.30GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
Open-play chances were finely balanced (1.30 xG to 1.52).
MetricAFCOppseason avg
xG
quality of chances created
1.30
2.31
1.41
Shots
total attempts
11
15
12
Shots on target
attempts hitting the target
4
6
4
Big chances
clear, should-score chances
2
3
2
Box touches
touches in the opponent's box
19
19
2
xG per shot
average chance quality per shot
0.12
0.15
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
MetricAFCOppseason avg
Possession
share of the ball
56%✓
44%
49%
Field tilt
share of play in the opponent's half
—
–
—
Progressive passes
passes moving the ball upfield
32
–
49
Final-third entries
moves into the final third
51
67
64
xT (threat created)
danger added by passing moves
1.66
–
2.17
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual: 2.31 xGA, above the season average.
MetricAFCOppseason avg
xGA
quality of chances conceded — lower is better
2.31
1.30
1.55
PPDA
how hard Aberdeen pressed — lower is harder
10.4
–
12.7
High regains
balls won high up the pitch
3
–
6
Tackles
tackles made
15
–
17
Interceptions
opponent passes cut out
6
–
8
Opp. box touches
opponent touches in our box — lower is better
19
19
2
Green tick = the side on top for that metric (higher or lower as appropriate). The last column is Aberdeen’s average for reference — this season once enough games are played, otherwise last season. Dashes are Aberdeen-only measures.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
19box touches
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:DWWWW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match