Ross County
0–3
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.14xG
+1.58AFC xGD
xG1.72
Expected points 0.20–2.44
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.11 xG per shot to 0.03, and the bigger ones (1–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (1.72–0.14), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.72–0.14). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.72Ross County 0.14GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.72 – 0.14
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.11 – 0.03
xG per shot
16 – 5
shots (AFC – Ross County)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.11 xG per shot to 0.03.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.39 – 1.40
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
52 – 69
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.14 xGA
chances conceded
1.41 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Ross County box touches
0.03
xG per Ross County shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
0.14xGA
1st of 38 · season best
7shots on target
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:LLWWL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match