St. Johnstone
1–1
FT · Draw
Aberdeen
0.99xG
+0.22AFC xGD
xG1.21
Expected points 1.58–1.58
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
St. Johnstone generated more attacking volume — 14 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 8 and 0. But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.15 xG per shot to 0.07, and the bigger ones (2–2 big chances). The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.21–0.99) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 0.43–0.99.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.58 – 1.58
From the full xG (1.21–0.99), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.43–0.99). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.21St. Johnstone 0.99GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.21 – 0.99
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.43–0.99
0.15 – 0.07
xG per shot
8 – 14
shots (AFC – St. Johnstone)
Aberdeen produced fewer attempts, but their average chance was 2 times as valuable.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.24 – 2.39
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
54 – 55
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.99 xGA
chances conceded
0.55 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
St. Johnstone box touches
0.07
xG per St. Johnstone shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWWLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match