Aberdeen
0–3
FT · Loss
St. Mirren
1.03xG
-1.70AFC xGD
xG2.73
Expected points 0.20–2.44
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.03–2.73) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.03–1.15.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.20 – 2.44
From the full xG (1.03–2.73), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.58 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.03–1.15). Took 0.
Significant misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.03St. Mirren 2.73GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityOPPONENT EDGE
1.03 – 2.73
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 1.03–1.15
0.05 – 0.27
xG per shot
19 – 10
shots (AFC – St. Mirren)
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.54 – 2.25
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
84 – 49
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.73 xGA
chances conceded
1.18 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
St. Mirren box touches
0.27
xG per St. Mirren shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
85progressive passes
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
2.73xGA
36th of 38 · among the worst
-1.70xGD
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:DLLWW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match