AFC 1903
← Prev
Scottish Premiership · Sat, 27 Jan 2024 · Away
Next →
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.58xG
-0.65AFC xGD
xG0.93
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Deserved defeat
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A defeat broadly in line with the underlying numbers.

16–15 shots · 0–1 big chances · 0.93–0.79 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityEVEN
0.93 – 1.58
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 0.93–0.79
0.06 – 0.11
xG per shot
16 – 15
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.58 – 2.23
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
58% – 42%
field tilt
57 – 68
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Heart of Midlothian's half.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.58 xGA
chances conceded
0.03 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
25 (base 25)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.11
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 0.93Heart of Midlothian 1.58GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
18%
26%
56%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.01.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · Grant0-2 · Shankland
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
16 shots

Heart of Midlothian Shot Map

2 goals: 1 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

16shots · 1 on target
By situation
69%
31%
Open play1169%
Free kick / throw531%
By body part
56%
13%
31%
Right foot956%
Left foot213%
Head531%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 16Heart of Midlothian 15
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots169.912.114.4
above usual · 142 of 192 lower
Shots in the box135.97.99.8
above usual · 167 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
41.7%
38.8%
19.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
78.1%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
61avg 49
Directness
59.0%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes323371.9392
below usual · 49 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %6575.772.2
below usual · 34 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2726.325.2
about normal · 114 of 192 lower
Long balls5454.657.8
about normal · 69 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes16.71515.6
about normal · 130 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
3 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
2 key passes · 4 aerials won
G
S. GartenmannDEF71'
J
R. JensenDEF90'
4 interceptions · 6 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
MID
B
C. BarronMID70'
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
2 key passes · 4 tackles
P
D. PolvaraMID65'
1 key pass
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
2 key passes · 4 shots
M
J. McGrathMID70'
1 key pass
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
Substitutes
D
DukFWD25'
1 key pass
M
S. MorrisFWD20'
S
E. SoklerFWD20'
M
A. MacDonaldDEF19'

Historical Context

How this match compares to the season so far

This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.93avg 1.42
12th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.58avg 1.55
18th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
45%avg 49%
10th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
16.0avg 12.2
8th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
1.0avg 4.2
5th worst of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.9
6th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
29.0avg 23.1
11th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
57.0avg 64.3
13th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
9.0avg 8.5
16th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
7.0avg 4.7
6th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
24.0avg 16.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
14.0avg 7.5
2nd best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
13.0avg 16.5
14th best of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWLWD(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
14
Passes into the box
6th highest of 192 · tied with 1