
Aberdeen
3–3
FT · Draw
Motherwell
1.44xG
-1.12AFC xGD
xG2.56
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
An even game, an even result.
The penalty stretched the headline xG (1.44–2.56) well beyond the non-penalty picture, which was almost level at 1.44–1.77.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (1.44–2.56), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.44–1.77). Took 1.
Little fortune either way.Result and performance broadly matched.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.44Motherwell 2.56GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.44 – 2.56
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41 · non-penalty 1.44–1.77
0.10 – 0.23
xG per shot
14 – 11
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Motherwell created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.78 – 1.21
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
94 – 54
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.56 xGA
chances conceded
1.01 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Motherwell box touches
0.23
xG per Motherwell shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
89progressive passes
1st of 38 · season best
7shots on target
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:DLDDL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match