Heart of Midlothian
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.19xG
-0.66AFC xGD
xG0.53
Expected points 1.59–0.72
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
11–12 shots · 1–1 big chances · 0.53–1.19 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.53 – 1.19
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.05 – 0.10
xG per shot
11 – 12
shots
Heart of Midlothian created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.97 – 2.10
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Heart of Midlothian
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
52% – 48%
field tilt
67 – 68
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
1.19 xGA
chances conceded
0.36 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
33 (base 25)
Heart of Midlothian box touches
0.10
xG per Heart of Midlothian shot
Heart of Midlothian accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.53Heart of Midlothian 1.18GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
14%
30%
56%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
Heart of Midlothian Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
12 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
11shots · 5 on target
By situation
82%
9%
9%
Open play982%
Corner19%
Free kick / throw19%
By body part
36%
45%
18%
Right foot436%
Left foot545%
Head218%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 11Heart of Midlothian 12
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | about normal · 80 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 80 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | below usual · 54 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 54 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
48.2%
34.6%
17.2%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
77.8%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
46avg 49
Directness
62.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 372 | 371.9 | 392 | about normal · 83 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 83 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 64.8 | 75.7 | 72.2 | below usual · 32 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 32 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 19 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 49 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 49 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 58 | 54.6 | 57.8 | about normal · 95 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 95 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 15.6 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 108 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 108 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
2 saves
14/31
Pass
-
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
4 tackles
26/38
Pass
73%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
4 interceptions · 8 clearances · 8 aerials won
31/42
Pass
67%
Duels
6
Tkl+Int
J
R. JensenDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 interceptions
30/46
Pass
44%
Duels
7
Tkl+Int
MID
D
N. DevlinMID90'
1 key pass
19/31
Pass
63%
Duels
1
Key P
C
L. ClarksonMID67'
1 big chance created · 2 key passes
28/46
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Key P
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
4 aerials won
25/34
Pass
53%
Duels
-
Key P
M
J. McGarryMID57'
3 shots
11/19
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
M
J. McGrathFWD67'
1 key pass
16/21
Pass
58%
Duels
-
Shots
D
DukFWD90'
1 key pass · 4 tackles
13/18
Pass
47%
Duels
-
Shots
M
B. MiovskiFWD68'
5/9
Pass
27%
Duels
2
Shots
Substitutes
D
R. DuncanMID33'
8/13
Pass
50%
Duels
-
Key P
H
P. H. GueyeFWD23'
1 key pass
6/9
Pass
13%
Duels
1
Shots
B
C. BarronMID23'
14/18
Pass
60%
Duels
-
Key P
S
E. SoklerFWD22'
2/5
Pass
-
Duels
1
Shots
Historical Context
How this match compares to the season so far
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.53avg 1.43
5th worst of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.18avg 1.56
15th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
47%avg 49%
13th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
11.0avg 12.4
19th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
5.0avg 4.1
12th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.9
19th worst of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
17.0avg 23.4
11th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
67.0avg 64.0
16th best of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
7.0avg 8.6
15th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
3.0avg 4.8
15th worst of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
26.0avg 16.8
best of 38 · Highest 26.0, 6 February 2024 (1-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
13.0avg 7.5
4th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
15.7avg 16.4
16th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLDL(last 4)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg