Hearts
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
1.19xG
-0.66AFC xGD
xG0.53
Expected points 1.58–0.73
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
Hearts generated more attacking volume — 12 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 11 and 0.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 1.58
From the full xG (0.53–1.19), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.53–1.19). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.53Hearts 1.18GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.53 – 1.19
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.05 – 0.10
xG per shot
11 – 12
shots (AFC – Hearts)
Hearts created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.97 – 2.10
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
67 – 68
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.19 xGA
chances conceded
0.36 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Hearts box touches
0.10
xG per Hearts shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:DLDL(last 4)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match