Aberdeen
1–0
FT · Win
Motherwell
2.32xG
+1.91AFC xGD
xG0.41
Expected points 2.44–0.20
DominantThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.10 xG per shot to 0.05, and the bigger ones (2–0 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.44 – 0.20
From the full xG (2.32–0.41), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.44 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.32–0.41). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.32Motherwell 0.41GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
2.32 – 0.41
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.10 – 0.05
xG per shot
23 – 8
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.10 xG per shot to 0.05.
Territory & progressionEVEN
2.58 – 1.97
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
73 – 74
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.41 xGA
chances conceded
1.14 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Motherwell box touches
0.05
xG per Motherwell shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
23shots
1st of 38 · season best
14high regains
1st of 38 · season best
79progressive passes
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWDD(last 5)
Home this season: 7-7-5, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match