Rangers
1–3
FT · Win
Aberdeen
2.55xG
-0.90AFC xGD
xG1.65
Expected points 2.29–0.73
Fortunate winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
Rangers generated more attacking volume — 18 shots and 0 box touches to Aberdeen's 14 and 0.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.73 – 2.29
From the full xG (1.65–2.55), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.73 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.65–2.55). Took 3.
Extreme fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.64Rangers 2.55GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.65 – 2.55
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.12 – 0.14
xG per shot
14 – 18
shots (AFC – Rangers)
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.64 – 4.26
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
52 – 103
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.55 xGA
chances conceded
1.00 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Rangers box touches
0.14
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
27progressive passes
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LDLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match