AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Sat, 30 Sept 2023 · Away
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Rangers
Rangers
1–3
FT · Win
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2.55xG
-0.90AFC xGD
xG1.65
Expected points 2.29–0.72
Fortunate win
The verdict
Event data: Opta

The scoreline flattered Aberdeen relative to the chance quality.

14–18 shots · 3–5 big chances · 1.65–2.55 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.65 – 2.55
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.12 – 0.14
xG per shot
14 – 18
shots
Rangers created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
1.64 – 4.26
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Rangers
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
66% – 34%
field tilt
52 – 103
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Rangers's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.55 xGA
chances conceded
1.00 worse than AFC baseline (1.55)
34 (base 25)
Rangers box touches
0.14
xG per Rangers shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 1.64Rangers 2.55GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
21%
20%
59%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Gartenmann2-0 · McGrath2-1 · Sima3-1 · MacKenzie
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

3 goals: 1 open play, 2 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
14 shots

Rangers Shot Map

1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
18 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

14shots · 7 on target
By situation
21%
79%
Open play321%
Corner1179%
By body part
29%
50%
21%
Right foot429%
Left foot750%
Head321%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 14Rangers 18
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots149.912.114.4
about normal · 121 of 192 lower
Shots in the box115.97.99.8
above usual · 147 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
34.4%
40.0%
25.6%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
80.0%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
27avg 49
Directness
56.2%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes234371.9392
bottom 10% — fewest since @ Celtic, Dec 2025 · 12 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %66.275.772.2
below usual · 37 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third1426.325.2
below usual · 24 of 192 lower
Long balls4454.657.8
below usual · 24 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes18.81515.6
above usual · 153 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
4 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
1 goal · 7 clearances
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
3 shots · 6 clearances · 5 aerials won
J
R. JensenDEF89'
7 clearances
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 goal · 3 shots
MID
P
D. PolvaraMID80'
4 aerials won
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 key pass · 5 tackles
C
L. ClarksonMID84'
1 assist · 2 big chances created · 4 key passes
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 goal
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD79'
Substitutes
B
C. BarronMID19'
D
DukFWD11'
H
J. HayesMID10'
M
A. MacDonaldDEF9'

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Rangers — every meeting on record
0-1-10(11 games)
0.66–2.44avg xG (n=9)
LLLLLLLLDLL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.64avg 1.40
13th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
2.55avg 1.52
6th worst of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
29%avg 50%
4th worst of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
14.0avg 12.3
13th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
6.0avg 4.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
3.0avg 1.8
7th best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
24.0avg 23.2
18th best of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
52.0avg 64.4
8th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
5.0avg 8.6
9th worst of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
8.0avg 4.6
5th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
12.0avg 17.2
7th worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
8.0avg 7.7
14th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
26.6avg 16.1
5th worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

27progressive passes
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LDLLW(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg