Motherwell
2–4
FT · Win
Aberdeen
1.44xG
+0.80AFC xGD
xG2.24
Expected points 0.73–2.29
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A dramatic win rather than a dominant performance.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.15 xG per shot to 0.14, and the bigger ones (4–3 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 2.29 – 0.73
From the full xG (2.24–1.44), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 2.29 pts
From non-penalty xG (2.24–1.44). Took 3.
Some fortune.The result flattered Aberdeen slightly — the non-penalty chances were close before the penalty shifted the xG.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 2.24Motherwell 1.44GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
2.24 – 1.44
Expected goals
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.15 – 0.14
xG per shot
15 – 10
shots (AFC – Motherwell)
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.18 – 2.82
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
—
field tilt
58 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.44 xGA
chances conceded
0.11 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
0 (base 2)
Motherwell box touches
0.14
xG per Motherwell shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWDL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 0.00–0.00 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match