AFC 1903
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Scottish Premiership · Wed, 1 Nov 2023 · Away
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Motherwell
Motherwell
2–4
FT · Win
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1.44xG
+0.80AFC xGD
xG2.24
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved win
The verdict
Event data: Opta

A win that matched the balance of chances.

15–10 shots · 4–3 big chances · 2.24–1.44 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
The match in three battles
Chance qualityABERDEEN EDGE
2.24 – 1.44
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xG baseline: 1.41
0.15 – 0.14
xG per shot
15 – 10
shots
Chance quality was broadly even between the sides.
Territory & progressionEVEN
1.18 – 2.82
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Motherwell
AFC xT baseline: 2.17
50% – 50%
field tilt
58 – 72
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.44 xGA
chances conceded
0.11 better than AFC baseline (1.55)
15 (base 25)
Motherwell box touches
0.14
xG per Motherwell shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.

xG timeline

Aberdeen 2.24Motherwell 1.44GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
57%
23%
20%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.02.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · McGrath2-0 · Devlin3-0 · McGrath4-0 · Duk4-1 · Bair4-2 · Biereth
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots

Aberdeen Shot Map

4 goals: 3 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots

Motherwell Shot Map

2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

15shots · 6 on target
By situation
73%
13%
Open play1173%
Counter213%
Corner17%
Free kick / throw17%
By body part
33%
47%
20%
Right foot533%
Left foot747%
Head320%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 15Motherwell 10
0'HTFT 
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
SPFL average
80 team-games
Shots159.912.114.4
about normal · 129 of 192 lower
Shots in the box95.97.99.8
about normal · 122 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
49.8%
38.4%
11.8%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
86.9%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
50avg 49
Directness
53.7%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
7 games
5-year
192 games
Passes450371.9392
about normal · 132 of 192 lower
Pass accuracy %7475.772.2
about normal · 101 of 192 lower
Passes into the final third2226.325.2
about normal · 79 of 192 lower
Long balls7154.657.8
above usual · 162 of 192 lower
Long balls, % of passes15.81515.6
about normal · 112 of 192 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
R
K. RoosGK90'
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 goal · 2 key passes
G
S. GartenmannDEF90'
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
14 clearances · 5 aerials won
J
R. JensenDEF90'
5 interceptions · 5 clearances · 5 aerials won
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
MID
P
D. PolvaraMID66'
2 key passes · 5 aerials won
S
G. ShinnieMID73'
C
L. ClarksonMID90'
2 key passes
M
J. McGrathMID70'
2 goals · 6 shots
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD72'
1 key pass
Substitutes
B
C. BarronMID24'
D
DukFWD20'
1 goal
S
E. SoklerFWD18'
D
R. DuncanMID17'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

At Motherwell — every meeting on record
3-2-4(9 games)
1.06–1.53avg xG (n=8)
WLLLWWDLD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
2.24avg 1.39
7th best of 38 · Highest 3.86, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 0.18, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
xGA
1.44avg 1.55
18th best of 38 · Highest 4.67, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 0.14, 2 January 2024 (3-0)
Possession
52%avg 49%
19th best of 38 · Highest 67%, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 22%, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots
15.0avg 12.2
11th best of 38 · Highest 23.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 3.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Shots on target
6.0avg 4.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 12.0, 17 February 2024 (2-2) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.8
3rd best of 38 · Highest 6.0, 4 May 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 0.0, 5 August 2023 (0-0)
Box touches
19.0avg 23.4
14th worst of 38 · Highest 47.0, 3 December 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 6.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Final third entries
58.0avg 64.2
14th worst of 38 · Highest 94.0, 14 February 2024 (3-3) · Lowest 35.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Key passes
9.0avg 8.5
16th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 27 April 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 1.0, 27 August 2023 (2-2)
Corners
4.0avg 4.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 13.0, 30 December 2023 (0-3) · Lowest 0.0, 12 November 2023 (0-6)
Tackles
14.0avg 17.1
12th worst of 38 · Highest 26.0, 16 September 2023 (0-2) · Lowest 8.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
Interceptions
10.0avg 7.6
9th best of 38 · Highest 18.0, 2 January 2024 (3-0) · Lowest 2.0, 30 January 2024 (1-1)
PPDA
28.4avg 16.1
3rd worst of 38 · Highest 39.1, 12 November 2023 (0-6) · Lowest 6.9, 15 May 2024 (5-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

4big chances
3rd of 38 · 3rd best
Form:LWWDL(last 5)
Away this season: 5-5-9, 1.19–1.70 xG avg
Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16
28.45
PPDA
10th highest of 192