St. Johnstone
1–2
FT · Win
Aberdeen
0.81xG
+0.98AFC xGD
xG1.79
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved winThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A win that matched the balance of chances.
21–15 shots · 4–0 big chances · 1.79–0.81 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeThe match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
1.79 – 0.81
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Johnstone
AFC xG baseline: 1.22
0.09 – 0.05
xG per shot
21 – 15
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.09 xG per shot to 0.05.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.54 – 1.85
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – St. Johnstone
AFC xT baseline: 1.95
57% – 43%
field tilt
48 – 82
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceMIXED
0.81 xGA
chances conceded
0.83 better than AFC baseline (1.64)
31 (base 24)
St. Johnstone box touches
0.05
xG per St. Johnstone shot
St. Johnstone accessed Aberdeen's box too easily, but most of their shots were low quality.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.79St. Johnstone 0.81GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
63%
22%
14%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Aberdeen Shot Map
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
21 shots
St. Johnstone Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
15 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
21shots · 7 on target
By situation
57%
10%
29%
Open play1257%
Counter210%
Corner629%
Free kick / throw15%
By body part
38%
29%
33%
Right foot838%
Left foot629%
Head733%
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 21St. Johnstone 15
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | SPFL average 80 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 22 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 14.4 | top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower |
| top 10% in 192 matches · 182 of 192 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 13 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | above usual · 167 of 192 lower |
| above usual · 167 of 192 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
42.6%
36.1%
21.3%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.3% own half
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
84.7%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
54avg 49
Directness
62.4%avg 57.8%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 7 games | 5-year 192 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 324 | 371.9 | 392 | below usual · 51 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 51 of 192 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 71 | 75.7 | 72.2 | about normal · 70 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 70 of 192 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 18 | 26.3 | 25.2 | below usual · 42 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 42 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 45 | 54.6 | 57.8 | below usual · 25 of 192 lower |
| below usual · 25 of 192 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 13.9 | 15 | 15.6 | about normal · 77 of 192 lower |
| about normal · 77 of 192 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
Players
Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
2 saves
16/30
Pass
100%
Duels
2
Saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 goal · 1 key pass · 5 clearances
28/32
Pass
75%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
R
S. RubežićDEF90'
1 key pass · 9 clearances · 12 aerials won
22/33
Pass
81%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
11 clearances · 8 aerials won
23/32
Pass
69%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
J. MackenzieDEF90'
1 key pass · 4 tackles
19/26
Pass
55%
Duels
5
Tkl+Int
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
23/33
Pass
43%
Duels
-
Key P
N
S. NilsenMID90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
36/45
Pass
58%
Duels
2
Key P
M
S. MorrisMID75'
1 key pass · 4 shots · 3 dribbles won
18/21
Pass
43%
Duels
1
Key P
S
E. SoklerMID64'
2 key passes
9/16
Pass
33%
Duels
2
Key P
M
J. McGrathMID90'
1 goal · 1 assist · 2 big chances created
23/31
Pass
47%
Duels
8
Key P
FWD
M
B. MiovskiFWD90'
1 big chance created · 1 key pass · 4 shots
17/21
Pass
10%
Duels
4
Shots
Substitutes
H
P. H. GueyeFWD26'
2 key passes · 5 aerials won
3/8
Pass
70%
Duels
1
Shots
A
P. AmbroseFWD15'
3/5
Pass
17%
Duels
-
Shots
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At St. Johnstone — every meeting on record
4-3-1(8 games)
0.82–0.61avg xG (n=6)
DDWWLWWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.79avg 1.20
8th best of 38 · Highest 2.78, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.29, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
xGA
0.81avg 1.66
7th best of 38 · Highest 4.02, 26 December 2024 (0-4) · Lowest 0.38, 26 October 2024 (1-0)
Possession
49%avg 54%
14th worst of 38 · Highest 74%, 25 January 2025 (0-3) · Lowest 27%, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Shots
21.0avg 11.8
best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 30 October 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 6.0, 15 January 2025 (0-3)
Shots on target
6.0avg 3.7
6th best of 38 · Highest 8.0, 9 November 2024 (4-1) · Lowest 0.0, 3 May 2025 (0-1)
Big chances
4.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 4.0, 14 September 2024 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 6 October 2024 (3-2)
Box touches
26.0avg 24.8
17th best of 38 · Highest 52.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 8.0, 25 February 2025 (1-5)
Final third entries
48.0avg 57.1
10th worst of 38 · Highest 86.0, 26 October 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 31.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Key passes
19.0avg 8.8
best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 4.0, 19 October 2024 (2-2)
Corners
7.0avg 6.1
13th best of 38 · Highest 14.0, 2 March 2025 (2-2) · Lowest 1.0, 29 December 2024 (0-1)
Tackles
17.0avg 17.1
15th best of 38 · Highest 29.0, 12 January 2025 (0-0) · Lowest 9.0, 26 April 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
11.0avg 6.4
4th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 31 August 2024 (1-0) · Lowest 2.0, 22 February 2025 (1-0)
PPDA
14.4avg 15.6
17th worst of 38 · Highest 48.6, 14 May 2025 (1-5) · Lowest 7.3, 2 March 2025 (2-2)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
21shots
1st of 38 · season best
4big chances
1st of 38 · season best
Away this season: 5-4-10, 0.95–1.91 xG avg
Across the archive
All recordsWhere this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
0
Big chances conceded
lowest of 192 · tied with 27
4
Big chances
8th highest of 192 · tied with 16