Aberdeen
2–3
FT · Loss
Dundee FC
0.46xG
-3.53AFC xGD
xG3.99
Expected points 0.20–2.44
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Standout performer
8.4K. Nisbet
K. Nisbet ran the show — a 8.4 rating with 2 goals.
Second best on chances
0.46–3.99xG for–against
The opposition created more — 3.99 xG against Aberdeen's 0.46.
Set-piece threat
1set-piece goal
Dead balls did damage — 1 goal from set pieces (0.19 set-piece xG).
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.20 · -0.20
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?74% luck · mostly luck
About 74% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.46Dundee FC 3.99GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 3.99 xG to Aberdeen's 0.46. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.46
3.99
1.19
Shots
11
23
11
Shots on target
4
7
3
Big chances
2
5
2
Box touches
20
37
22
xG per shot
0.04
0.17
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half. Ball progression was sharp.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
53%
47%
48%
Field tilt
62%
38%
51%
Progressive passes
65
—
46
Final-third entries
71
53
55
xT (threat created)
1.99
—
1.88
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual — 3.99 xGA, above the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 10.8).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
3.99
0.46
1.56
PPDA
10.8
—
14.3
High regains
5
—
5
Tackles
13
—
16
Interceptions
7
—
9
Opp. box touches
37
20
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
3.99xGA
37th of 38 · among the worst
-3.53xGD
37th of 38 · among the worst
0.46xG
36th of 38 · among the worst
Form:LLWLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)