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Premiership · Sat, 24 Jan 2026 · Pittodrie
Aberdeen
6
Livingston
2
FULL TIME · WON
3.08Aberdeen xG2.02Livingston xG2.29Aberdeen expected pointsDeserved win
2025–26 so far
LLLDLLWWLWDWWDWWLDLLLLWLLLDLLDLLWWDWLL
Match 23 of 38 · 40 points. Tap a square for that match.
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The verdict
Event data: Opta

A win that matched the balance of chances.

17–7 shots · 5–3 big chances · 3.08–2.02 NPxG

Watch Highlights

SPFL YouTube
Summary

How the match was decided

The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
3.08 – 2.02
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Livingston
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.18 – 0.29
xG per shot
17 – 7
shots
Livingston created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
3.31 – 1.44
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Livingston
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
52% – 48%
field tilt
70 – 54
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
2.02 xGA
chances conceded
0.45 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
14 (base 25)
Livingston box touches
0.29
xG per Livingston shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-1-4-1 and changed to 4-2-3-1 on 80’. Livingston started 4-2-3-1, then 4-3-1-2 on 84’.
The match by half
 AberdeenUsualLivingston
xG3.081.192.02
Big chances51.83
Touches in box3721.616
Possession %6148.139
Chance creation was fairly even across the two halves.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Livingston.

Lineups

Shots

Where the chances came from

xG timeline

Aberdeen 3.08Livingston 2.01GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
65%
22%
13%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.03.0HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'1-0 · Bilalovic1-1 · Susoho1-2 · Muirhead2-2 · Nisbet3-2 · Nisbet4-2 · Nilsen5-2 · Keskinen6-2 · Keskinen
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.

Aberdeen shots

6 goals: 4 open play, 2 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
17 shots

Livingston shots

2 goals: 0 open play, 2 free kick
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
7 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

17shots · 7 on target · 3.08 xG
By situation
53%
29%
12%
Open play953%
Counter16%
Corner529%
Free kick / throw212%
By body part
76%
24%
Right foot1376%
Head424%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 17Livingston 7
0'HTFT 
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
10 games
5-year
195 games
SPFL average
116 team-games
Shots1712.812.214.4
above usual · 152 of 195 lower
Shots in the box138.389.9
above usual · 168 of 195 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing

How the ball moved

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
47.7%
28.8%
23.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
18.8%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
16avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
90.4%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
78avg 50
Directness
61.3%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
10 games
5-year
195 games
Passes501396.2393
above usual · 166 of 195 lower
Pass accuracy %81.275.572.3
top 10% in 195 matches · 178 of 195 lower
Passes into the final third4430.825.4
top 10% in 195 matches · 177 of 195 lower
Long balls4057.557.9
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Rangers, Aug 2026 · 10 of 195 lower
Long balls, % of passes814.815.6
lowest in 195 matches · 0 of 195 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players

Player contributions

Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
2 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF63'
J. MilneDEF69'
M. KnoesterDEF90'
5 clearances
F
M. FrameDEF90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
MID
S
G. ShinnieMID90'
1 assist · 2 key passes · 4 tackles
B
K. BilalovicMID63'
1 goal · 3 shots · 5 dribbles won
C
L. CameronMID72'
2 key passes
S. ArmstrongMID81'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 3 key passes
K
T. KeskinenMID90'
2 goals · 1 assist · 1 big chance created
FWD
K. NisbetFWD81'
2 goals · 1 key pass · 3 shots
Substitutes
J
A. JensenMID27'
M
N. MilanovićFWD27'
3 key passes
N
S. NilsenMID18'
1 goal
C
L. ClarksonMID9'
T. OlusanyaFWD9'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 1 key pass
Context

How this match compares

Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
7.98%
Long-ball share
lowest of 195
5
Big chances
5th highest of 195 · tied with 2

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

5big chances
1st of 38 · season best
35box touches
1st of 38 · season best
3.08xG
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
78progressive passes
2nd of 33 · 2nd best
Form:DLLLL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs Livingston at Home — every meeting on record
5-1-2(8 games)
1.79–0.90avg xG (n=7)
DWWWWLWL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
3.08avg 1.14
2nd best of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
2.01avg 1.55
9th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
61%avg 48%
5th best of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
17.0avg 11.1
5th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
7.0avg 3.3
5th best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
5.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
35.0avg 20.9
best of 38 · Highest 34.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
70.0avg 55.0
9th best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
15.0avg 8.0
best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
8.0avg 4.6
4th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
14.0avg 15.9
14th worst of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
7.0avg 8.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
10.5avg 15.3
6th best of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
5%avg 5%
14th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg