Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
St. Mirren
0.53xG
-0.97AFC xGD
xG1.50
Expected points 0.73–2.26
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Controlled the ball
58%possession · 48% avg
Aberdeen dominated the ball — 58% possession against a 48% season average.
Second best on chances
0.53–1.50xG for–against
The opposition created more — 1.50 xG against Aberdeen's 0.53.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.73 · -0.73
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?18% luck · mostly down to skill
About 18% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.53St. Mirren 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 1.50 xG to Aberdeen's 0.53. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.53
1.50
1.19
Shots
8
9
11
Shots on target
1
5
3
Big chances
0
2
2
Box touches
24
15
22
xG per shot
0.07
0.17
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
58%
42%
48%
Field tilt
48%
52%
51%
Progressive passes
—
—
46
Final-third entries
73
68
55
xT (threat created)
—
—
1.88
Without the ball
Aberdeen conceded a typical amount of danger (1.50 xGA).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
1.50
0.53
1.56
PPDA
13.7
—
14.3
High regains
—
—
5
Tackles
12
—
16
Interceptions
11
—
9
Opp. box touches
15
24
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWWDW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)