Aberdeen
0–2
FT · Loss
St. Mirren
0.53xG
-0.97AFC xGD
xG1.50
Expected points 0.72–2.29
Deserved defeatThe verdict
Event data: Opta
A harsh defeat on the balance of chances.
St. Mirren generated more attacking volume — 9 shots and 15 box touches to Aberdeen's 8 and 24.
Result model · all chances
Expected points 0.72 – 2.29
From the full xG (0.53–1.50), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 0.72 pts
From non-penalty xG (0.53–1.50). Took 0.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
0.53 – 1.50
Expected goals · Aberdeen – St. Mirren
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.07 – 0.17
xG per shot
8 – 9
shots
St. Mirren created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionEVEN
—
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
48% – 52%
field tilt
73 – 68
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even.
Defensive resistanceEVEN
1.50 xGA
chances conceded
0.06 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
15 (base 26)
St. Mirren box touches
0.17
xG per St. Mirren shot
A middling defensive night by Aberdeen's standards.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 0.53St. Mirren 1.50GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
9%
24%
67%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
St. Mirren Shot Map
2 goals: 2 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
0shots · 0 on target
By situation
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 0St. Mirren 9
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
52.4%
47.6%
Own Half
Opp Half
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
44.7%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
38avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
88.2%avg 86.0%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 0.53 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Big chances | 0 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Touches in box | 24 | 21.6 | 15 |
| Possession % | 58 | 48.1 | 42 |
Aberdeen were a different side after half time — 0.53 xG to 0.00 before it.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with St. Mirren.
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs St. Mirren at Home — every meeting on record
4-3-3(10 games)
1.95–1.42avg xG (n=9)
DLWLWLWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
0.53avg 1.21
6th worst of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.50avg 1.56
19th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
58%avg 48%
6th best of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
8.0avg 11.4
14th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
1.0avg 3.5
7th worst of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
0.0avg 1.8
7th worst of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
24.0avg 21.5
12th best of 38 · Highest 37.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
73.0avg 54.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
6.0avg 8.2
17th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
6.0avg 4.6
6th best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
12.0avg 15.9
10th worst of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
11.0avg 8.4
10th best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:LWWDW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match