St Mirren (H) 0–2
Hearts (H) 2–1 →The verdict
Event data: Opta
A defeat that matched the balance of chances.
9–11 shots · 1–5 big chances · 1.12–1.99 NPxG
Watch Highlights
SPFL YouTubeSummary
How the match was decided
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG OPPONENT EDGE
1.12 – 1.99
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee FC
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.12 – 0.18
xG per shot
9 – 11
shots
Dundee FC created the higher-quality chances per shot.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
—
Expected threat created
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
61% – 39%
field tilt
71 – 54
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Dundee FC's half.
Defensive resistanceOPPONENT EDGE
1.99 xGA
chances conceded
0.43 worse than AFC baseline (1.56)
20 (base 25)
Dundee FC box touches
0.18
xG per Dundee FC shot
Aberdeen conceded better chances than they usually do.
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.99 |
| Big chances | 1 | 1.8 | 6 |
| Touches in box | 15 | 21.6 | 20 |
| Possession % | 44 | 48.1 | 56 |
Aberdeen's best work came before half time — 0.97 xG to 0.15 after.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee FC.
Lineups
Shots
Where the chances came from
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.12Dundee FC 1.99GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
12%
26%
62%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Aberdeen shots
2 goals: 1 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
9 shots
Dundee FC shots
3 goals: 2 open play, 1 corner
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
11 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
9shots · 2 on target · 1.12 xG
By situation
44%
22%
33%
Open play444%
Corner222%
Free kick / throw333%
By body part
56%
33%
11%
Right foot556%
Left foot333%
Head111%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 9Dundee FC 11
0'HTFT
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
Passing
How the ball moved
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
39.1%
60.9%
Own Half
Opp Half
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
96.9%avg 60.8%
GK Total Passes
32avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
85.5%avg 86.1%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
Players
Player contributions
Player contributions
GK
S
N. SumanGK90'
3 saves
7/32
Pass
-
Duels
3
Saves
DEF
J. MilneDEF90'
2 key passes
29/40
Pass
38%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
M
L. MorrisonDEF90'
1 goal · 4 interceptions · 4 tackles
23/27
Pass
88%
Duels
8
Tkl+Int
M. KnoesterDEF14'
5/9
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Tkl+Int
G. MolloyDEF90'
4 aerials won
26/43
Pass
64%
Duels
3
Tkl+Int
MID
K
T. KeskinenMID69'
8/10
Pass
38%
Duels
-
Key P
M
K. Mar KjartanssonMID76'
4 tackles
13/21
Pass
83%
Duels
-
Key P
C
L. CameronMID69'
1 assist · 1 key pass · 4 tackles
20/23
Pass
100%
Duels
1
Key P
G
D. GeigerMID69'
21/24
Pass
45%
Duels
-
Key P
FWD
K. NisbetFWD90'
11/19
Pass
40%
Duels
1
Shots
T. OlusanyaFWD90'
1 goal · 1 key pass
6/8
Pass
10%
Duels
1
Shots
Substitutes
N. DevlinDEF76'
18/24
Pass
60%
Duels
2
Tkl+Int
S
G. ShinnieMID21'
12/14
Pass
67%
Duels
-
Key P
B
K. BilalovicMID21'
2/4
Pass
0%
Duels
-
Key P
M
N. MilanovićFWD21'
6/10
Pass
67%
Duels
1
Shots
A. AremuMID14'
8/9
Pass
100%
Duels
-
Key P
Context
How this match compares
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
A middle-of-the-road performance by this season’s standards — no category stood out as a high or low.
Form:WWDWL(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
At Dundee FC — every meeting on record
3-1-3(7 games)
1.00–1.40avg xG
LWWWLDL
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.12avg 1.19
16th best of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.99avg 1.55
10th worst of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
44%avg 48%
17th worst of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
9.0avg 11.3
17th worst of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
2.0avg 3.4
18th worst of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
1.0avg 1.8
19th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
17.0avg 21.4
14th worst of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
71.0avg 55.0
7th best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
4.0avg 8.3
5th worst of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
2.0avg 4.8
6th worst of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
24.0avg 15.6
3rd best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
13.0avg 8.4
6th best of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg