Motherwell
2–0
FT · Loss
Aberdeen
2.46xG
-1.85AFC xGD
xG0.62
Expected points 2.44–0.20
Deserved defeatMatch in 30 seconds
Aggressive pressure
10high regains · 5 avg
A ferocious counter-press — 10 ball recoveries in the final third against a season average of 5.
Second best on chances
0.62–2.46xG for–against
The opposition created more — 2.46 xG against Aberdeen's 0.62.
Standout performer
7.9P. K. Bratveit
P. K. Bratveit ran the show — a 7.9 rating.
Result verdict
Fair result
Took 0 pts · expected 0.20 · -0.20
robbedfairrode their luck
How much of this was luck?65% luck · mostly luck
About 65% of the gap between the goals and the chances came down to luck — a kind bounce or the keeper’s day, the sort of thing that won’t repeat every week. The rest came from things Aberdeen control: how cleanly they hit their shots and their own goalkeeping.
One match is a small sample — finishing and goalkeeping swing single games. Expected points are calibrated on Aberdeen’s own five seasons of xGD.
Match Story
Aberdeen 0.62Motherwell 2.46GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shot Map
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
10 shots
How the match was won or lost
Chance creation
The opponent created more — 2.46 xG to Aberdeen's 0.62. Output was below the season norm.
AFC
Opp
Avg
xG
0.62
2.46
1.19
Shots
10
17
11
Shots on target
2
8
3
Big chances
2
3
2
Box touches
19
42
22
xG per shot
0.06
0.14
0.11
Territory & progression
Aberdeen controlled territory above their usual level, camping in the opposition half.
AFC
Opp
Avg
Possession
54%
46%
48%
Field tilt
50%
50%
51%
Progressive passes
48
—
46
Final-third entries
56
55
55
xT (threat created)
1.54
—
1.88
Without the ball
Aberdeen gave up more than usual — 2.46 xGA, above the season average. The press was aggressive (PPDA 9.1).
AFC
Opp
Avg
xGA
2.46
0.62
1.56
PPDA
9.1
—
14.3
High regains
10
—
5
Tackles
17
—
16
Interceptions
19
—
9
Opp. box touches
42
19
26
Aberdeen’s value is green when it beats the season average in the direction that helps — so lower xGA, PPDA and opposition box touches read as good.
Player performance
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
10high regains
1st of 33 · season best
Form:LLLWL(last 5)
Away this season: 4-2-13, 0.96–1.71 xG avg
After scoring first: 10-3-2 (15 games)