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Premiership · Sun, 14 Dec 2025 · Pittodrie
Aberdeen
2
Kilmarnock
1
FULL TIME · WON
3.76Aberdeen xG1.02Kilmarnock xG2.47Aberdeen expected pointsDominant
2025–26 so far
LLLDLLWWLWDWWDWWLDLLLLWLLLDLLDLLWWDWLL
Match 16 of 38 · 40 points. Tap a square for that match.
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The verdict
Event data: Opta

A dominant second-half attacking performance after a poor first half.

Aberdeen generated 3.65 xG after the break, having managed just 0.12 before it.

Watch Highlights

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Summary

How the match was decided

The match in three battles
Chance qualitySTRONG ABERDEEN EDGE
3.76 – 1.02
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xG baseline: 1.19 · non-penalty 2.97–1.02
0.18 – 0.13
xG per shot
21 – 8
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.18 xG per shot to 0.13.
Territory & progressionSLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
2.56 – 1.48
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Kilmarnock
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
57% – 43%
field tilt
73 – 60
final-third entries
Territory was relatively even, but Aberdeen's passing generated more threat than usual.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
1.02 xGA
chances conceded
0.54 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
14 (base 25)
Kilmarnock box touches
0.13
xG per Kilmarnock shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 3-4-3 and changed to 4-3-3 on 49’, then 4-4-2 on 75’. Kilmarnock started 5-3-2, then 5-4-1 on 76’.
The match by half
 AberdeenUsualKilmarnock
xG3.761.191.02
Big chances51.82
Touches in box3021.614
Possession %6848.132
Aberdeen were a different side after half time — 3.65 xG to 0.12 before it.
Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half this season.
How this is measured
FotMob period stats. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Kilmarnock.

Lineups

Shots

Where the chances came from

xG timeline

Aberdeen 3.76Kilmarnock 1.02GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
93%
5%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
0.00.51.03.5HT0'15'30'45'60'75'90'0-1 · John-Jules1-1 · Bilalovic2-1 · Karlsson
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.

Aberdeen shots

2 goals: 1 open play, 1 pen
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
21 shots

Kilmarnock shots

1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
8 shots

Shot mix & shots over time

21shots · 9 on target · 3.76 xG
By situation
38%
43%
14%
Open play838%
Corner943%
Free kick / throw314%
Penalty15%
By body part
67%
10%
24%
Right foot1467%
Left foot210%
Head524%
How this is measured
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 21Kilmarnock 8
0'HTFT 
Drag across the chart to pick any window.
How this is measured
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
AberdeenThis matchThis season
10 games
5-year
195 games
SPFL average
116 team-games
Shots2112.812.214.4
top 10% in 195 matches · 181 of 195 lower
Shots in the box168.389.9
top 10% in 195 matches · 184 of 195 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Passing

How the ball moved

Build-Up Play

Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball

Pass Territory
43.1%
36.4%
20.5%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.1% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
31.6%avg 60.7%
GK Total Passes
19avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
92.2%avg 86.1%
Progression
Progressive Passes
90avg 50
Directness
56.0%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
AberdeenThis matchThis season
10 games
5-year
195 games
Passes539396.2393
top 10% in 195 matches · 177 of 195 lower
Pass accuracy %8475.572.3
top 10% in 195 matches · 191 of 195 lower
Passes into the final third4830.825.4
top 10% in 195 matches · 187 of 195 lower
Long balls4757.557.9
below usual · 34 of 195 lower
Long balls, % of passes8.714.815.6
bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 4 of 195 lower
marker = 5-year mean
Players

Player contributions

Player contributions
GK
M
D. MitovGK90'
4 saves
DEF
D
N. DevlinDEF90'
1 key pass · 5 clearances · 4 aerials won
J. MilneDEF90'
1 key pass · 10 clearances
M. KnoesterDEF90'
MID
J
A. JensenMID45'
S. ArmstrongMID90'
1 big chance created · 7 key passes
P
D. PolvaraMID65'
K
T. KeskinenMID72'
FWD
A
A. AouchicheFWD90'
1 key pass · 4 shots · 4 tackles
K. NisbetFWD90'
1 assist · 1 big chance created · 2 key passes
K
J. KarlssonFWD90'
1 goal · 3 shots
Substitutes
S
G. ShinnieMID45'
L
M. LazetićFWD25'
B
K. BilalovicMID18'
1 goal
Context

How this match compares

Across the archive
All records
Where this match ranks against every Aberdeen match with data for each metric — coverage varies (shots/possession from 2015-16, xG from 2020-21, most else from 2021-22; see /records for each metric's exact range). Only metrics in the top or bottom 10 are shown.
3.76
Expected goals
4th highest of 233
2.74
xG difference
4th highest of 233
84%
Pass completion
4th highest of 195
5
Big chances
5th highest of 195 · tied with 2
8.72%
Long-ball share
5th lowest of 195
230
Passes in the opposition half
7th highest of 195

Where this performance ranks

Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.

3.76xG
1st of 38 · season best
+2.74xGD
1st of 38 · season best
21shots
1st of 38 · season best
5big chances
1st of 38 · season best
90progressive passes
1st of 33 · season best
8shots on target
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
Form:DWWDW(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg

Historical Context

Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far

Vs Kilmarnock at Home — every meeting on record
6-1-1(8 games)
1.43–0.70avg xG (n=7)
DWWWLWWW
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
3.76avg 1.12
best of 38 · Highest 3.08, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
1.02avg 1.57
12th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
68%avg 48%
2nd best of 38 · Highest 72%, 27 December 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
21.0avg 11.0
best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
8.0avg 3.3
2nd best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
5.0avg 1.6
best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
32.0avg 21.0
4th best of 38 · Highest 35.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
73.0avg 54.9
3rd best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
12.0avg 8.1
7th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
9.0avg 4.6
2nd best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
16.0avg 15.8
16th best of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 6.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
Interceptions
7.0avg 8.5
19th worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 2.0, 27 December 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
10.0avg 15.3
4th best of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
3%avg 6%
5th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg