Aberdeen
1–1
FT · Draw
Dundee United
1.10xG
+0.31AFC xGD
xG0.80
Expected points 1.57–0.72
Tight gameThe verdict
Event data: Opta
Two points dropped on the chances created.
But Aberdeen created the better chances: 0.08 xG per shot to 0.06, and the bigger ones (2–2 big chances).
Result model · all chances
Expected points 1.57 – 0.72
From the full xG (1.10–0.80), penalty included.
Performance model · excl. penalty
Expected 1.57 pts
From non-penalty xG (1.10–0.80). Took 1.
Some misfortune.Aberdeen deserved more than they got from the chances created.
The match in three battles
Chance qualitySLIGHT ABERDEEN EDGE
1.10 – 0.80
Expected goals · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xG baseline: 1.19
0.08 – 0.06
xG per shot
13 – 13
shots
Aberdeen's chances were the better ones — 0.08 xG per shot to 0.06.
Territory & progressionABERDEEN EDGE
2.21 – 1.52
Expected threat created · Aberdeen – Dundee United
AFC xT baseline: 1.88
64% – 36%
field tilt
61 – 56
final-third entries
Aberdeen controlled the territory and pushed play into Dundee United's half.
Defensive resistanceABERDEEN EDGE
0.80 xGA
chances conceded
0.76 better than AFC baseline (1.56)
21 (base 26)
Dundee United box touches
0.06
xG per Dundee United shot
A resilient defensive display — chances conceded were below Aberdeen's usual level.
ShapeAberdeen started 4-2-3-1 and stayed in it for the whole match. Dundee United stayed in 3-4-3 throughout.
xG timeline
Aberdeen 1.10Dundee United 0.80GoalAberdeen above · opponent below · shaded = sustained pressure
44%
32%
24%
Match odds from simulating these shots at their own xG (20,000 runs) — for fun, not a prediction: it scores what should have happened, not what did.
Each step is a shot; the line climbs by that shot's xG. Steeper, sustained climbs (shaded) mark spells of real pressure.
Shots
Dundee United Shot Map
1 goal: 1 open play
Goal
Saved
Blocked
Post
Off target
13 shots
Shot mix & shots over time
0shots · 0 on target
By situation
Every shot in one bucket only. Open play covers unassisted and assisted attempts; counter is a fast break; free kicks, direct set pieces and throw-in routines are grouped because there are rarely enough of any one of them in a single match to read separately. A mix heavy on corners and free kicks with few open-play shots means the side needed a dead ball to get near the goal.
Shots over timefull match · drag to focus a period
Aberdeen 0Dundee United 13
0'HTFT
Five-minute buckets — a side takes roughly a dozen shots a match, so the two-minute bars used for passing would be almost all gaps. Use the buttons for the common windows, or drag across the chart for anything else.
In context
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | SPFL average 66 team-games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 | 9.8 | 12.1 | 14.8 | about normal · 113 of 190 lower |
| about normal · 113 of 190 lower | |||||
| Shots in the box | 5 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | below usual · 36 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 36 of 190 lower | |||||
marker = 5-year mean
Passing & build-up
Build-Up Play
Where Aberdeen's passes were and how they progressed the ball
Pass Territory
35.8%
38.3%
25.9%
Own Half
Middle
Final 3rd
Season avg: 46.2% own half
GK Distribution
GK Long Ball %
50.0%avg 60.4%
GK Total Passes
24avg 31
Build-Up Quality
Own-Half Accuracy
91.6%avg 86.0%
Progression
Progressive Passes
71avg 49
Directness
55.0%avg 57.9%
Season avg
Above avg
Below avg
In context · full match
| Aberdeen | This match | This season 5 games | 5-year 190 games | Where that sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passes | 570 | 376.8 | 392.4 | top 10% in 190 matches · 179 of 190 lower |
| top 10% in 190 matches · 179 of 190 lower | ||||
| Pass accuracy % | 80.4 | 75.4 | 72.2 | above usual · 164 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 164 of 190 lower | ||||
| Passes into the final third | 33 | 27.2 | 25.2 | above usual · 149 of 190 lower |
| above usual · 149 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls | 47 | 53.2 | 57.8 | below usual · 33 of 190 lower |
| below usual · 33 of 190 lower | ||||
| Long balls, % of passes | 8.2 | 14.4 | 15.6 | bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 1 of 190 lower |
| bottom 10% — fewest since vs Livingston, Jan 2026 · 1 of 190 lower | ||||
marker = 5-year mean
The match by half
| Aberdeen | Usual | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.10 | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Big chances | 2 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Touches in box | 29 | 21.6 | 21 |
| Possession % | 72 | 48.1 | 28 |
Aberdeen were a different side after half time — 0.97 xG to 0.14 before it.
FotMob period stats — same source as the match xG. Usual = Aberdeen’s average for this half across 38 games in 2025-26. Green or red marks a figure clearly above or below our own norm, never a comparison with Dundee United.
Historical Context
Games at this ground, and how this match compares to the season so far
Vs Dundee United at Home — every meeting on record
4-3-0(7 games)
1.39–0.57avg xG (n=6)
WDWWDWD
This match vs season so far
37 comparable games — each metric says how many of them actually have that stat.
xG
1.10avg 1.19
17th best of 38 · Highest 3.76, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.32, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
xGA
0.80avg 1.58
9th best of 38 · Highest 4.72, 21 December 2025 (1-3) · Lowest 0.10, 11 April 2026 (2-0)
Possession
72%avg 47%
best of 38 · Highest 68%, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 27%, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Shots
13.0avg 11.2
13th best of 38 · Highest 21.0, 6 December 2025 (3-1) · Lowest 5.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1)
Shots on target
6.0avg 3.3
6th best of 38 · Highest 9.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 0.0, 3 January 2026 (0-1)
Big chances
2.0avg 1.7
12th best of 38 · Highest 5.0, 14 December 2025 (2-1) · Lowest 0.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Box touches
29.0avg 21.4
8th best of 38 · Highest 37.0, 24 January 2026 (6-2) · Lowest 7.0, 21 March 2026 (1-4)
Final third entries
61.0avg 55.2
13th best of 38 · Highest 85.0, 14 March 2026 (1-1) · Lowest 29.0, 21 December 2025 (1-3)
Key passes
9.0avg 8.1
17th best of 38 · Highest 15.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 3.0, 23 November 2025 (1-0)
Corners
9.0avg 4.6
2nd best of 38 · Highest 11.0, 5 October 2025 (4-0) · Lowest 1.0, 10 August 2025 (0-2)
Tackles
6.0avg 16.1
worst of 38 · Highest 27.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1) · Lowest 9.0, 18 October 2025 (1-0)
Interceptions
2.0avg 8.7
worst of 38 · Highest 20.0, 28 February 2026 (0-1) · Lowest 3.0, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
PPDA
14.0avg 15.2
16th best of 33 · Highest 31.4, 10 August 2025 (0-2) · Lowest 9.3, 11 January 2026 (0-2)
Counter-press rate
4%avg 5%
11th worst of 33 · Highest 11%, 24 February 2026 (0-0) · Lowest 2%, 9 November 2025 (1-1)
avg
Above avg
Below avg
Where this performance ranks
Against Aberdeen’s other matches this season — only the standout highs and lows.
64%field tilt
2nd of 38 · 2nd best
71progressive passes
3rd of 33 · 3rd best
Form:WDWWL(last 5)
Home this season: 7-5-7, 1.42–1.41 xG avg
Detailed stats not available for this match